Velo3D, Inc.
$19.61
-11%Velo3D, Inc. produces and sells metal additive three dimensional printers in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. The company's printers enable the production of components for space rockets, jet engines, fuel delivery systems, and other metal parts, which it sells or leases to customers for use in their businesses. It also offers Flow, a proprietary software platform, which scans part designs for geometrical features; and Sapphire, Sapphire 1MZ, Sapphire XC, and Sapphire XC 1MZ printers. In addition, the company provides Assure, a quality control software platform that includes process metrologies; Flow Developer, a new version of print preparation software that turns traditional design files into print files; and Intelligent Fusion, an underlying manufacturing process that unifies and manages the information flow, sensor data, and the advanced printing technology for precision control of the entire print. Further, it offers Rapid Production Solutions to build resilient supply chains for production parts in different industries; and provides support services. The company serves small- and medium-sized enterprises to Fortune 500 companies in the space, aviation, defense, automotive, energy, and industrial markets. Velo3D, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Fremont, California. Velo3D, Inc operates as a subsidiary of Arrayed Additive inc.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -4.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E -4.5, earnings yield N/A, momentum -11.4%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -0.2%, ROIC -0.1%).
Profitability stack: net margin -1.6%, ROE -0.2%, ROIC -0.1%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +63.8%, momentum -11.4%, net margin -1.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Velo3D, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Loading price and EPS data...
Velo3D, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Velo3D, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Velo3D, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.
Velo3D, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Velo3D, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that VELO stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 25.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 25.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Velo3D, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $81.97M and sold $167 worth of VELO shares, resulting in $81.97M of net buying activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
5.0M
81.90M
0
0.00
+81.9M
+$81.90M
6-9 Months
13.8K
43.33K
0
0.00
+43K
+$43K
9-12 Months
6.0K
22.44K
43
167.00
+22K
+$22K
Top Buyers
Jeldi Arun
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo
$81.90M
Lloyd Jason Michael
Director
$37K
Keppler Adrian
Director
$10K
Krause Stefan
Director
$10K
Thieneman Kenneth Dale
Director
$10K
Top Sellers
Xu Hull Hou Jun
Officer: Cfo
$167
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $81.97M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.
No Dividend Yield Data
VELO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
velo Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on VELO by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.