TS

TON Strategy Co.

TONX·NASDAQ

$3.76

-5.1%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

The first NASDAQ‑listed publicly traded treasury for Toncoin ($TON), the native cryptocurrency of The Open Network (TON). The company accumulates and stakes $TON to build a long-term treasury, offering regulated market exposure to TON through structured capital deployment and staking rewards.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$212.56M
EPS-5.9600
P/E Ratio-0.63
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -5.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -36.5%, ROIC -8.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin -11.6%, ROE -36.5%, ROIC -8.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +1.2%, momentum -5.1%, net margin -11.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

t

TON Strategy Co. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TONX · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

TS

TON Strategy Co. Fair Value Envelope

TONX · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that TONX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.76, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for TON Strategy Co..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.76
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-82.0%
3Y+159638.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y-
3Y+297.0%
5Y+495.0%
10Y+3374.0%
3Y+7.0%
5Y+27.0%
10Y+1195.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+1198.0%
3Y+1579.0%
5Y+1163.0%
10Y+394480.0%
TS

TON Strategy Co. Profit Bridge

TONX · NASDAQ
Revenue12.78M
Cost of Goods Sold (3.89M)
Gross Profit8.88M
Operating Expenses (45.33M)
Operating Income-36.44M
Interest Expense (1.00K)
Other Income/Expense-112.18M
Pretax Income-148.62M
Income Tax (-234.00K)
Net Income-148.48M
Net Income
-148.48M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

69.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-285.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-1161.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

69.53%
Gross Profit Margin
-7%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+34.0%
10Y-
-285.17%
Operating Profit Margin
-78%
3Y-100.0%
5Y+15.0%
10Y-
-1161.90%
Net Profit Margin
1%
3Y-100.0%
5Y+364.0%
10Y-
-36.54%
Return on Equity
-43%
3Y-95.0%
5Y-84.0%
10Y-130.0%
-36.11%
Return on Assets
-28%
3Y-76.0%
5Y-53.0%
10Y-99.0%
-8.95%
Return on Invested Capital
-87%
3Y-93.0%
5Y-94.0%
10Y-102.0%
T

TON Strategy Co. Cash Conversion Engine

TONX · NASDAQ
Net Income-148.39M
Depreciation & Amortization1.30M
Stock-Based Compensation19.14M
Change in Working Capital-3.38M
Others110.80M
Capital Expenditures-88.00K
Free Cash Flow-20.86M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

14.1%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-0.4%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-129.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$3.38M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

t

TON Strategy Co. Funding & Solvency Profile

TONX · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents34.78M
Net Receivables438.00K
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets2.14M
Total Current Assets37 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets5.22M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets279.08M
Total Non-Current Assets279 M
Total Assets
321.66M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

7.42x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.02x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

32 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

12% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

t

TON Strategy Co. Street Expectations Map

TONX · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for tonx.

t

TON Strategy Co. Insider Positioning

TONX · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $569K and sold $7.44M worth of TONX shares, resulting in $6.87M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

19.8K

71.85K

Sold

8.0K

29.35K

Net Activity

+42K

+$42K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

240.1K

689.61K

Net Activity

-690K

-$690K

6-9 Months

Bought

70.0K

497.60K

Sold

662.4K

6.72M

Net Activity

-6.2M

-$6.22M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
SM

Stotz Manuel

Director, 10 Percent Owner:

70.0K shares1 transactions

$498K

2
WKM

Wilson Kevin Mark

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

8.0K shares1 transactions

$29K

3
OSJ

Olsen Sarah Josephine

Officer: Cfo & Coo

7.4K shares1 transactions

$27K

4
SE

Sohn Evan

Director

2.8K shares1 transactions

$10K

5
MM

Marbach Mary

Officer: General Counsel/Corp Secretary

1.6K shares1 transactions

$6K

Top Sellers

1
CRJ

Cutaia Rory J.

Director

902.5K shares14 transactions

$7.41M

2
WKM

Wilson Kevin Mark

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

8.0K shares1 transactions

$29K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $6.87M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.08:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$42K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
 

tonx Dividend History

TONX
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%