$8.10
-0.84%Instil Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer. The company develops cell therapy of autologous tumor infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL). Its TIL product candidates in pipeline include ITIL-168 for indications, such as melanoma, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, and cervical cancer; and ITIL-306 to recognize folate receptor alpha (FOLR1) with indications, including gynecological, non-small cell lung cancer, renal caner, and others. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$52.8M | -$76.2M | -$109.9M | -$158.6M | -$228.8M | -$330.1M | -$476.1M | -$686.9M | -$990.9M | -$1.4B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 |
| Owner Earnings | -$52.8M | -$76.2M | -$109.9M | -$158.6M | -$228.8M | -$330.1M | -$476.1M | -$686.9M | -$990.9M | -$1.4B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | -$48.9M | -$65.3M | -$87.3M | -$116.6M | -$155.7M | -$208.0M | -$277.8M | -$371.1M | -$495.7M | -$662.1M |
Snapshot
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Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.