Teads Holding Co.
$1.24
+3.8%Teads Holding Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates a technology platform that connects media owners and advertisers with engaged audiences to drive business outcomes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates a two-sided marketplace, forming an end-to-end advertising platform with direct media owner and advertiser relationships. It also provides advertising solutions for advertisers, including a CPC performance platform and CPM-based managed and self-service platforms, and bespoke creative studio solutions that provide data-driven creative tailored to various environments and channels. In addition, the company offers budgets spanning video, display, native, and performance advertising services and technology solutions that enable media owners to deeply engage their audiences, increasing the total revenue opportunity media owners can realize. Teads Holding Co. was formerly known as Outbrain Inc. and changed its name to Teads Holding Co. in June 2025. Teads Holding Co. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.2).
Valuation inputs: P/E -0.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum +3.8%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -5.4%, ROIC -1.9%).
Profitability stack: net margin -39.8%, ROE -5.4%, ROIC -1.9%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +92.8%, momentum +3.8%, net margin -39.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Teads Holding Co. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Loading price and EPS data...
Teads Holding Co. Fair Value Envelope
Teads Holding Co. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Teads Holding Co. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.
Teads Holding Co. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Teads Holding Co. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that TEAD stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.00 to a high of 1.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.00 to a high of 1.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.
Teads Holding Co. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $185K and sold $136K worth of TEAD shares, resulting in $50K of net buying activity.
3 Months
151.5K
157.20K
0
0.00
+157K
+$157K
3-6 Months
10.0K
7.32K
0
0.00
+7K
+$7K
6-9 Months
1.3K
2.01K
18.9K
30.78K
-29K
-$29K
9-12 Months
10.0K
18.55K
37.3K
104.78K
-86K
-$86K
Top Buyers
Spilman Mary
Officer: Chief Commercial Officer
$104K
Kostman David
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$53K
Krindel Yaffa
Director
$28K
Top Sellers
Kostman David
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$120K
Kiviat Jason
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$12K
Bradshaw Wenkai
Officer: Cao & Svp Corporate Controller
$3K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Moderately bullish with $50K net buying. Insiders show cautious optimism through measured share purchases.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Positive buy/sell ratio. Buying exceeds or matches selling, indicating net positive insider sentiment.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
3 insider buyers and 3 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Broad-based insider buying: When multiple insiders independently decide to purchase shares, it often reflects genuine confidence rather than coordinated optics. This pattern deserves attention, especially if buying followed a price decline.
No Dividend Yield Data
TEAD has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
tead Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on TEAD by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.