Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

TARSยทNASDAQ

$58.76

-0.29%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel therapeutic candidates for ophthalmic conditions. Its lead product candidate is TP-03, a novel therapeutic that is in Phase III for the treatment of blepharitis caused by the infestation of Demodex mites, as well as to treat meibomian gland disease. The company is also developing TP-04 for the treatment of rosacea; and TP-05 for Lyme prophylaxis and community malaria reduction. In addition, the company develops lotilaner to address diseases across therapeutic categories in human medicine, including eye care, dermatology, and other diseases. Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.53B
EPS-1.5900
P/E Ratio-36.96
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -37.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E -37.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -19.3%, ROIC -16.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin -14.7%, ROE -19.3%, ROIC -16.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +38.9%, momentum -0.3%, net margin -14.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TARS ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

TARS ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that TARS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $58.76, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $58.76
3Y-37.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y+413.0%
3Y+1648.0%
5Y-
10Y-
3Y+7.0%
5Y+148.0%
10Y+4935.0%
3Y-75.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+952.0%
3Y-55.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+1775.0%
3Y+147.0%
5Y+227.0%
10Y+23431.0%
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Profit Bridge

TARS ยท NASDAQ
Revenue451.36M
Cost of Goods Sold (30.68M)
Gross Profit420.68M
Operating Expenses (491.64M)
Operating Income-70.97M
Interest Expense (8.94M)
Other Income/Expense6.61M
Pretax Income-64.36M
Income Tax (2.06M)
Net Income-66.42M
Net Income
-66.42M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

93.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-15.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-14.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

93.20%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-3.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-15.72%
Operating Profit Margin
-76%
3Y-94.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-14.72%
Net Profit Margin
-77%
3Y-94.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-19.34%
Return on Equity
-62%
3Y-40.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y-120.0%
-11.81%
Return on Assets
-61%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y-79.0%
-16.64%
Return on Invested Capital
-59%
3Y-43.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y-73.0%
TARS

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

TARS ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-66.42M
Depreciation & Amortization1.82M
Stock-Based Compensation41.72M
Change in Working Capital14.64M
Others-4.21M
Capital Expenditures-9.86M
Free Cash Flow-22.31M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

33.6%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-79.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+73.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$14.64M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

TARS ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents102.19M
Net Receivables117.21M
Inventory4.57M
Other Current Assets26.72M
Total Current Assets537 M
Property, Plant & Equipment27.67M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets7.13M
Long-Term Investments3.87M
Other Non-Current Assets5.24M
Total Non-Current Assets37 M
Total Assets
581.13M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.74x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.67x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

394 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

92% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Street Expectations Map

TARS ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that TARS stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 84.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 68.00 to a high of 100.00.

Lowest Target
68.00
15.72%
Consensus Target
84.00
42.95%
Highest Target
100.00
70.18%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 84.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 68.00 to a high of 100.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+43.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

38.1% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Insider Positioning

TARS ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $12.77M worth of TARS shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

97.9K

6.68M

Net Activity

-6.7M

-$6.68M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

32.0K

2.55M

Net Activity

-2.5M

-$2.55M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

33.1K

1.88M

Net Activity

-1.9M

-$1.88M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

38.1K

1.66M

Net Activity

-1.7M

-$1.66M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
ABR

Azamian Bobak R.

Director, Officer: President/Ceo And Board Chair

52.0K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$3.45M

2
LWJP

Link William J Phd

Director

35.8K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.20M

3
WDC

Whitfield Dianne C.

Officer: Chief Human Resources Officer

25.4K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$1.89M

4
MA

Mottiwala Aziz

Officer: Chief Commercial Officer

30.6K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.66M

5
NS

Neervannan Seshadri

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

22.7K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$1.61M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $12.77M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$6.68M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

TARS has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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tars Dividend History

TARS
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%