SG

Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

SVCOยทNASDAQ

$12.68

+4.2%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Silvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions. The company's TCAD software are used in various applications, such as physical etch and deposition process simulation; calibration of doping profiles and metal oxide semiconductor/bipolar transistors; modeled effects; photonics simulation for solar cell, charge-coupled device (CCD), metal oxide semiconductor image sensor, thin-film transistor (TFT), liquid crystal display, and organic light-emitting diode using ray tracing/finite-difference time domain/timing memory; single event effect and total dose simulation; and stress simulation. Its EDA software solution covers various areas of analog/mixed-signal/radiofrequency circuit simulation; and custom integrated circuits CAD and interconnect modeling, including support for CMOS, bipolar, diode, junction-gate field-effect transistor, silicon on insulator, TFT, high-electron mobility transistor, insulated-gate bipolar transistor, and resistor and capacitor models, as well as provides SPICE modeling services for the semiconductor industry. The company also provides SIP and EDA software and design services, such as standard cell library development; IP migration to new process; embedded memory compilers, such as static random-access memories, read only memories, and register files; library characterization services; and general purpose and custom I/Os. Further, the company provides SIP management tools and SIP. It serves semiconductor manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers that deploys solutions in production flows across various target markets, including display, power devices, automotive, memory, high performance compute, Internet of Things, and 5G/6G mobile markets in the United States and internationally. Silvaco Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$414.40M
EPS-1.3900
P/E Ratio-9.12
Earnings Date06/18/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -9.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E -9.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum +4.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -54.9%, ROIC -14.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin -65.3%, ROE -54.9%, ROIC -14.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +38.9%, momentum +4.2%, net margin -65.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SVCO ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

SVCO ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that SVCO has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $12.68, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $12.68
3Y+893.0%
5Y-1655.0%
10Y-1655.0%
3Y+36.0%
5Y+57.0%
10Y+57.0%
3Y+949.0%
5Y-1716.0%
10Y-1716.0%
3Y+1517.0%
5Y-687.0%
10Y-687.0%
3Y+1479.0%
5Y-753.0%
10Y-753.0%
3Y+217.0%
5Y+193.0%
10Y+193.0%
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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Profit Bridge

SVCO ยท NASDAQ
Revenue63.06M
Cost of Goods Sold (13.69M)
Gross Profit49.37M
Operating Expenses (63.04M)
Operating Income-13.67M
Interest Expense (697.00K)
Other Income/Expense-30.98M
Pretax Income-44.65M
Income Tax (-3.44M)
Net Income-41.21M
Net Income
-41.21M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

78.3%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-21.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-65.3%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

78.29%
Gross Profit Margin
-2%
3Y-3.0%
5Y-
10Y-
-21.68%
Operating Profit Margin
-68%
3Y+438.0%
5Y-340.0%
10Y-340.0%
-65.34%
Net Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+673.0%
5Y-1132.0%
10Y-1132.0%
-54.95%
Return on Equity
40%
3Y+40.0%
5Y-472.0%
10Y-472.0%
-33.60%
Return on Assets
21%
3Y+231.0%
5Y-652.0%
10Y-652.0%
-14.78%
Return on Invested Capital
-60%
3Y+49.0%
5Y-208.0%
10Y-208.0%
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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

SVCO ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-41.21M
Depreciation & Amortization3.47M
Stock-Based Compensation10.81M
Change in Working Capital-19.61M
Others12.63M
Capital Expenditures-618.00K
Free Cash Flow-34.52M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

83.8%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

-1.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-70.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$19.61M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

SVCO ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents10.93M
Net Receivables22.52M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets4.73M
Total Current Assets38 M
Property, Plant & Equipment3.39M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets54.98M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets14.91M
Total Non-Current Assets18 M
Total Assets
111.45M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.42x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.45x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

11 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

34% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Conservative with tight liquidity: Low debt is positive, but current ratio warrants attention. Consider whether the company is efficiently deploying its equity capital.

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Street Expectations Map

SVCO ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that SVCO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 18.00.

Lowest Target
18.00
41.96%
Consensus Target
18.00
41.96%
Highest Target
18.00
41.96%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 18.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+42.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Insider Positioning

SVCO ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $480K and sold $3.69M worth of SVCO shares, resulting in $3.21M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.7K

59.73K

Net Activity

-60K

-$60K

3-6 Months

Bought

49.1K

197.99K

Sold

100.0K

193.80K

Net Activity

+4K

+$4K

6-9 Months

Bought

66.3K

282.37K

Sold

1.3M

2.70M

Net Activity

-2.4M

-$2.42M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

290.5K

736.73K

Net Activity

-737K

-$737K

Top Buyers

1
RWC

Rhines Walden C

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

53.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$215K

2
NAK

Ngai Anthony K.K.

Director

22.0K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$105K

3
NKS

Ngai-Pesic Katherine S.

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Other: Member Of 10% Owner Group

25.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$103K

4
ZCJ

Zegarelli Christopher John

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

15.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$58K

Top Sellers

1
NKS

Ngai-Pesic Katherine S.

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Other: Member Of 10% Owner Group

965.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$2.09M

2
PII

Pesic Illiya I.

Other: Member Of 10% Owner Group

400.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$773K

3
PYI

Pesic Yelena I.

Other: Member Of 10% Owner Group

305.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$626K

4
JC

Jackson Candace

Officer: See Remarks

16.9K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$95K

5
TBA

Taheri Babak A.

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

17.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$84K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.21M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.13:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$60K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 4 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

SVCO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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svco Dividend History

SVCO
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%