SunOpta Inc.

SunOpta Inc.

STKL·NASDAQ

$6.50

+0.0000%
Consumer DefensivePackaged Foods

SunOpta Inc. manufactures and sells plant-based and fruit-based food and beverage products to retail customers, foodservice distributors, branded food companies, and food manufacturers worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Plant-Based Foods and Beverages, and Fruit-Based Foods and Beverages. The Plant-Based Foods and Beverages segment provides plant-based beverages, and liquid and dry ingredients that utilizes almond, soy, coconut, oat, hemp, and other bases, as well as broths, teas, and nutritional beverages. This segment also packages dry- and oil-roasted in-shell sunflower and sunflower kernels; and processes and sells raw sunflower inshell and kernel for food and feed applications. The Fruit-Based Foods and Beverages segment offers individually quick frozen (IQF) fruits, such as strawberries, blueberries, mangos, pineapples, blends, and other berries for retail; and IQF and bulk frozen fruits, including purées, toppings, and smoothies for foodservice, and custom fruit preparations for industrial use. This segment also provides fruit snacks comprising bars, twists, ropes, and bite-sized products. The company was formerly known as Stake Technology Ltd. and changed its name to SunOpta Inc. in October 2003. SunOpta Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$769.42M
EPS0.1300
P/E Ratio27.76
Earnings Date05/13/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 27.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 27.8, earnings yield +3.6%, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +8.5%, ROIC +7.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.9%, ROE +8.5%, ROIC +7.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +73.2%, momentum 0.0%, net margin +1.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

stkl

SunOpta Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

STKL · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

SunOpta Inc.

SunOpta Inc. Fair Value Envelope

STKL · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that STKL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $6.5, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for SunOpta Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $6.5
3Y-1811.0%
5Y-126.0%
10Y-122.0%
3Y+38.0%
5Y+4.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y-345.0%
5Y-81.0%
10Y-131.0%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-46.0%
10Y+3258.0%
3Y-133.0%
5Y-68.0%
10Y-201.0%
3Y-19.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y-39.0%
SunOpta Inc.

SunOpta Inc. Profit Bridge

STKL · NASDAQ
Revenue817.72M
Cost of Goods Sold (709.20M)
Gross Profit108.52M
Operating Expenses (64.75M)
Operating Income43.77M
Interest Expense (24.21M)
Other Income/Expense-27.31M
Pretax Income16.46M
Income Tax (691.00K)
Net Income15.77M
Net Income
15.77M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

13.3%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

5.4%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

1.9%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

4.2%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

13.27%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-3.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y+17.0%
5.35%
Operating Profit Margin
148%
3Y+571.0%
5Y+222.0%
10Y+973.0%
1.93%
Net Profit Margin
-180%
3Y-107.0%
5Y-917.0%
10Y-118.0%
8.48%
Return on Equity
-172%
3Y-107.0%
5Y-2306.0%
10Y-120.0%
2.27%
Return on Assets
-187%
3Y-108.0%
5Y-1563.0%
10Y-116.0%
7.49%
Return on Invested Capital
133%
3Y+723.0%
5Y+476.0%
10Y+1101.0%
STKL

SunOpta Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

STKL · NASDAQ
Net Income0.00
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-16.59M
Others66.25M
Capital Expenditures-28.43M
Free Cash Flow21.23M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

CapEx Intensity

57.2%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+17.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$16.59M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

stkl

SunOpta Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

STKL · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents169.00K
Net Receivables101.62M
Inventory106.97M
Other Current Assets10.99M
Total Current Assets220 M
Property, Plant & Equipment444.95M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets24.99M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets4.97M
Total Non-Current Assets450 M
Total Assets
694.66M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.18x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.73x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

34 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

32% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

stkl

SunOpta Inc. Street Expectations Map

STKL · NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that STKL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 8.00.

Lowest Target
8.00
23.08%
Consensus Target
8.00
23.08%
Highest Target
8.00
23.08%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 8.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+23.1%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

stkl

SunOpta Inc. Insider Positioning

STKL · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $165K and sold $134.53M worth of STKL shares, resulting in $134.37M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

20.7M

134.24M

Net Activity

-134.2M

-$134.24M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

15.0K

50.85K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+51K

+$51K

9-12 Months

Bought

20.0K

114.39K

Sold

47.5K

295.47K

Net Activity

-181K

-$181K

Top Buyers

1
KBW

Kocher Brian W

Director, Officer: Ceo

20.0K shares2 transactions

$114K

2
GG

Gaba Greg

Officer: Cfo

15.0K shares1 transactions

$51K

Top Sellers

1
OCGHGL

Oaktree Capital Group Holdings Gp, Llc

10 Percent Owner

20.7M shares1 transactions

$134.24M

2
DR

Duchscher Robert

Officer: Chief Information Officer

47.5K shares1 transactions

$295K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $134.37M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$134.24M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Balanced

2 insider buyers and 2 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
 

stkl Dividend History

STKL
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%