1st Source Corporation

1st Source Corporation

SRCEยทNASDAQ

$72.74

-0.26%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients. Its consumer banking services include checking and savings accounts; certificates of deposit; individual retirement accounts; online and mobile banking products; consumer loans, real estate mortgage loans, and home equity lines of credit; and financial planning, financial literacy, and other consultative services, as well as debit and credit cards. The company also offers commercial, small business, agricultural, and real estate loans for general corporate purposes, including financing for industrial and commercial properties, equipment, inventories, accounts receivables, and renewable energy and acquisition financing; and commercial leasing, treasury management, and retirement planning services. In addition, it provides trust, investment, agency, and custodial services comprising administration of estates and personal trusts, as well as management of investment accounts for individuals, employee benefit plans, and charitable foundations. Further, the company offers equipment loan and lease products for construction equipment, new and pre-owned aircraft, auto and light trucks, and medium and heavy duty trucks; and finances construction equipment, aircrafts, medium and heavy duty trucks, step vans, vocational work trucks, motor coaches, shuttle buses, funeral cars, automobiles, and other equipment. Additionally, it provides corporate and personal property, casualty, and individual and group health and life insurance products and services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 79 banking centers in 18 counties in Indiana and Michigan, as well as Sarasota County in Florida. 1st Source Corporation was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in South Bend, Indiana.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.75B
EPS6.4600
P/E Ratio11.26
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 11.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 11.3, earnings yield +8.9%, momentum -0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +12.4%, ROIC +8.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +26.4%, ROE +12.4%, ROIC +8.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +85.4%, momentum -0.3%, net margin +26.4%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

srce

1st Source Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SRCE ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

1st Source Corporation

1st Source Corporation Fair Value Envelope

SRCE ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that SRCE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $72.74, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for 1st Source Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $72.74
3Y+33.0%
5Y+104.0%
10Y+191.0%
3Y+56.0%
5Y+64.0%
10Y+114.0%
3Y+31.0%
5Y+94.0%
10Y+174.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+44.0%
10Y+128.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+40.0%
10Y+261.0%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+24.0%
10Y+65.0%
1st Source Corporation

1st Source Corporation Profit Bridge

SRCE ยท NASDAQ
Revenue600.00M
Cost of Goods Sold (178.07M)
Gross Profit421.93M
Operating Expenses (216.84M)
Operating Income205.09M
Interest Expense (166.22M)
Other Income/Expense-711.00K
Pretax Income204.38M
Income Tax (46.12M)
Net Income158.27M
Net Income
158.27M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

70.3%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

34.2%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

26.4%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

22.6%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

70.32%
Gross Profit Margin
7%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-12.0%
10Y-22.0%
34.18%
Operating Profit Margin
14%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+8.0%
26.38%
Net Profit Margin
13%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y+28.0%
12.41%
Return on Equity
4%
3Y-11.0%
5Y+35.0%
10Y+45.0%
1.75%
Return on Assets
18%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+57.0%
10Y+66.0%
8.60%
Return on Invested Capital
10%
3Y-11.0%
5Y+29.0%
10Y+63.0%
SRCE

1st Source Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

SRCE ยท NASDAQ
Net Income158.26M
Depreciation & Amortization11.27M
Stock-Based Compensation6.20M
Change in Working Capital38.42M
Others14.38M
Capital Expenditures-10.08M
Free Cash Flow213.03M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

134.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

4.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+17.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$38.42M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

srce

1st Source Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

SRCE ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents67.67M
Net Receivables34.44M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment87.24M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets87.21M
Long-Term Investments7.09B
Other Non-Current Assets464.78M
Total Non-Current Assets8 B
Total Assets
9.11B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.18x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

5.90x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-6179226000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

15% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

srce

1st Source Corporation Street Expectations Map

SRCE ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that SRCE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 81.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 74.00 to a high of 88.00.

Lowest Target
74.00
1.73%
Consensus Target
81.00
11.36%
Highest Target
88.00
20.98%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 81.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 74.00 to a high of 88.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+11.4%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

17.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

srce

1st Source Corporation Insider Positioning

SRCE ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $115K and sold $203K worth of SRCE shares, resulting in $88K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

51

3.53K

Sold

3.1K

203.13K

Net Activity

-200K

-$200K

6-9 Months

Bought

1.8K

107.84K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+108K

+$108K

9-12 Months

Bought

54

3.31K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+3K

+$3K

Top Buyers

1
AJF

Affleck-Graves John F

Director

319 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$19K

2
OTK

Ozark Timothy K

Director

319 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$19K

3
GTD

Graham Tracy D

Director

235 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$14K

4
STF

Schurz Todd F.

Director

235 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$14K

5
TIP

Torres Isaac P.

Director

235 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$14K

Top Sellers

1
GJB

Griffith John B

Officer: Exec Vp / Secy 1St Source Bank

1.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$125K

2
BJL

Buhr Jeffrey L

Officer: Executive Vice President

1.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$78K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Slightly bearish with $88K net selling. Selling modestly exceeds buying, which could be routine diversification rather than concern.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.56:1

Moderately negative ratio. Selling is roughly double the buying, which may be routine or signal caution.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

0.60%
Dividend Yield
-9%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+4.0%
ย 

srce Dividend History

SRCE
10Y CAGR +9%
Latest $0.43
Annual $1.99
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +7%