Stitch Fix, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc.

SFIXยทNASDAQ

$3.43

-2.6%
Consumer CyclicalApparel - Retail

Stitch Fix, Inc. sells a range of apparel, shoes, and accessories through its Website and mobile application in the United States. It offers denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags for men, women, and kids under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$468.27M
EPS-0.2200
P/E Ratio-15.59
Earnings Date06/09/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -15.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E -15.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -14.2%, ROIC -14.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin -2.3%, ROE -14.2%, ROIC -14.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +57.8%, momentum -2.6%, net margin -2.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Stitch Fix, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SFIX ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Stitch Fix, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

SFIX ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that SFIX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.43, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Stitch Fix, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.43
3Y-85.0%
5Y+163.0%
10Y+3448.0%
3Y-20.0%
5Y-40.0%
10Y+30.0%
3Y-83.0%
5Y+224.0%
10Y+4738.0%
3Y-56.0%
5Y-261.0%
10Y-35.0%
3Y-76.0%
5Y-118.0%
10Y-57.0%
3Y-22.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+87.0%
Stitch Fix, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc. Profit Bridge

SFIX ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.27B
Cost of Goods Sold (704.23M)
Gross Profit562.94M
Operating Expenses (591.78M)
Operating Income-44.72M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense10.88M
Pretax Income-28.02M
Income Tax (821.00K)
Net Income-28.74M
Net Income
-28.74M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

44.4%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

-3.5%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-2.3%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

44.42%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y+5.0%
5Y-1.0%
10Y-
-3.53%
Operating Profit Margin
55%
3Y-64.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y-209.0%
-2.27%
Net Profit Margin
3Y-79.0%
5Y+437.0%
10Y+3630.0%
-14.16%
Return on Equity
3Y-80.0%
5Y+635.0%
10Y+2381.0%
-5.98%
Return on Assets
3Y-79.0%
5Y+452.0%
10Y+2490.0%
-13.98%
Return on Invested Capital
40%
3Y-64.0%
5Y+813.0%
10Y+1074.0%
SFIX

Stitch Fix, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

SFIX ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-28.84M
Depreciation & Amortization26.12M
Stock-Based Compensation56.73M
Change in Working Capital-32.79M
Others3.96M
Capital Expenditures-16.29M
Free Cash Flow9.28M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-32.2%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

64.7%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

0.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$32.79M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Stitch Fix, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

SFIX ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents118.78M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory122.13M
Other Current Assets54.30M
Total Current Assets404 M
Property, Plant & Equipment86.49M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments12.81M
Other Non-Current Assets4.38M
Total Non-Current Assets104 M
Total Assets
507.81M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.69x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.43x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

165 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

80% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Stitch Fix, Inc. Street Expectations Map

SFIX ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that SFIX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 4.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.00 to a high of 5.00.

Lowest Target
4.00
16.62%
Consensus Target
4.50
31.20%
Highest Target
5.00
45.77%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 4.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.00 to a high of 5.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+31.2%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

22.2% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Stitch Fix, Inc. Insider Positioning

SFIX ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.70M worth of SFIX shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

125.7K

387.74K

Net Activity

-388K

-$388K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

292.2K

1.52M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.52M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

353.4K

1.79M

Net Activity

-1.8M

-$1.79M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
LK

Lake Katrina

Director

413.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.13M

2
OC

O'Connor Casey

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

268.1K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$1.24M

3
AD

Aufderhaar David

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

89.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$326K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.70M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$388K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

SFIX has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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sfix Dividend History

SFIX
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%