Serve Robotics Inc.
$8.24
-9.2%Serve Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public spaces with food delivery in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. The company was formerly known as Patricia Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Serve Robotics Inc. in July 2023. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is based in Redwood City, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -5.1).
Valuation inputs: P/E -5.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum -9.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -28.9%, ROIC -30.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin -38.2%, ROE -28.9%, ROIC -30.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +4.6%, momentum -9.2%, net margin -38.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Serve Robotics Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Serve Robotics Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Serve Robotics Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Serve Robotics Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Serve Robotics Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Serve Robotics Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that SERV stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 20.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 20.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Serve Robotics Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $12K and sold $2.91M worth of SERV shares, resulting in $2.90M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
64.4K
585.79K
-586K
-$586K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
96.3K
1.09M
-1.1M
-$1.09M
6-9 Months
25.0K
12.13K
117.3K
1.24M
-1.2M
-$1.23M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Abraham Euan
Officer: Chief Hardware & Mftg Offcr
$12K
Top Sellers
Kashani Ali
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.08M
Armenta Anthony
Officer: Chief Software & Data Officer
$714K
Parang Touraj
Director, Officer: President & Coo
$541K
Read Brian
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$364K
Abraham Euan
Officer: Chief Hardware & Mftg Offcr
$136K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $2.90M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
SERV has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
serv Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on SERV by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.