Satellogic Inc.
$7.84
-9.7%Satellogic Inc. builds and operates nano satellites for commercial-grade Earth observation in real-time. It offers data streams that are used in decision-making processes for various branches of government, organizations, businesses, and individuals. Its satellites are used for applications in agriculture, pipeline monitoring, critical infrastructure monitoring, disaster response, illegal logging, border patrol, port security, and other applications. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -179.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E -179.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum -9.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -7.9%, ROIC -23.9%).
Profitability stack: net margin -27.0%, ROE -7.9%, ROIC -23.9%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +60.0%, momentum -9.7%, net margin -27.0%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Satellogic Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Satellogic Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Satellogic Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Satellogic Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
Satellogic Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Satellogic Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that SATL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.10, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.50 to a high of 15.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.10, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.50 to a high of 15.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Satellogic Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $216K and sold $115.51M worth of SATL shares, resulting in $115.30M of net selling activity.
3 Months
35.7K
197.09K
10.6M
100.98M
-100.8M
-$100.78M
3-6 Months
10.0K
18.80K
524.4K
2.94M
-2.9M
-$2.92M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
2.1M
10.65M
-10.7M
-$10.65M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
253.8K
935.99K
-936K
-$936K
Top Buyers
Dunn Rick
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$197K
Cantor Fitzgerald, L. P.
10 Percent Owner
$19K
Top Sellers
Liberty 77 Capital L.P.
Director, 10 Percent Owner:
$97.70M
Kargieman Emiliano
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$6.70M
Cantor Fitzgerald, L. P.
Other: See Remarks
$5.45M
Lutnick Howard W
10 Percent Owner
$4.60M
Kharsansky Alan
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$727K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $115.30M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
SATL has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
satl Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on SATL by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.