$465.18
-3.5%Saia, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 400 and 10,000 pounds; and other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 176 owned and leased facilities; and owned approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2006. Saia, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.2B | $2.4B | $4.8B | $9.5B | $19.0B | $38.1B | $76.2B | $152.3B | $304.6B | $609.3B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$227.1M | -$454.1M | -$908.2M | -$1.8B | -$3.6B | -$7.3B | -$14.5B | -$29.1B | -$58.1B | -$116.3B |
| Owner Earnings | $962.9M | $1.9B | $3.9B | $7.7B | $15.4B | $30.8B | $61.6B | $123.2B | $246.5B | $493.0B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $891.6M | $1.7B | $3.1B | $5.7B | $10.5B | $19.4B | $36.0B | $66.6B | $123.3B | $228.4B |
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Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
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Earnings Call
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Analyst Expectations
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