Rumble Inc.

Rumble Inc.

RUMยทNASDAQ

$8.33

-2.6%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Rumble Inc. operates video sharing platforms. The company operates rumble.com, a platform that enables video creators to host, livestream, manage, distribute, and create OTT feeds, as well as monetize their content. It also operates locals.com, a subscription-based video sharing platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Longboat Key, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.62B
EPS-0.3200
P/E Ratio-26.03
Earnings Date08/10/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -26.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E -26.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -29.8%, ROIC -26.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin -81.3%, ROE -29.8%, ROIC -26.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +18.4%, momentum -2.6%, net margin -81.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Rumble Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

RUM ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Rumble Inc.

Rumble Inc. Fair Value Envelope

RUM ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that RUM has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $8.33, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Rumble Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $8.33
3Y+540.0%
5Y+1000.0%
10Y+24515.0%
3Y+155.0%
5Y+2108.0%
10Y+2894.0%
3Y+618.0%
5Y+6412.0%
10Y+22510.0%
3Y+118.0%
5Y-137683.0%
10Y-6360.0%
3Y+80.0%
5Y+422818.0%
10Y-7058.0%
3Y-8.0%
5Y+12472.0%
10Y+13417.0%
Rumble Inc.

Rumble Inc. Profit Bridge

RUM ยท NASDAQ
Revenue100.62M
Cost of Goods Sold (86.38M)
Gross Profit14.24M
Operating Expenses (91.37M)
Operating Income-77.13M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense-4.63M
Pretax Income-81.76M
Income Tax (67.23K)
Net Income-81.83M
Net Income
-81.83M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

14.2%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

-76.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-81.3%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

14.16%
Gross Profit Margin
-131%
3Y-228.0%
5Y-65.0%
10Y-70.0%
-76.65%
Operating Profit Margin
-44%
3Y-15.0%
5Y+177.0%
10Y+674.0%
-81.32%
Net Profit Margin
-77%
3Y+181.0%
5Y+195.0%
10Y+655.0%
-29.77%
Return on Equity
-106%
3Y+787.0%
5Y-108.0%
10Y-54.0%
-24.29%
Return on Assets
-86%
3Y+682.0%
5Y-48.0%
10Y+67.0%
-26.34%
Return on Invested Capital
-104%
3Y+165.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-30.0%
RUM

Rumble Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

RUM ยท NASDAQ
Net Income0.00
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital4.78M
Others-75.21M
Capital Expenditures-4.07M
Free Cash Flow-74.50M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

CapEx Intensity

-5.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+16.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$4.78M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Rumble Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

RUM ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents219.04M
Net Receivables12.53M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets232 M
Property, Plant & Equipment18.84M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets33.73M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets19 M
Total Assets
284.15M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

13.48x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.00x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

214 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

81% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Rumble Inc. Street Expectations Map

RUM ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that RUM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 15.00.

Lowest Target
8.00
-3.96%
Consensus Target
11.50
38.06%
Highest Target
15.00
80.07%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 15.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+38.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

60.9% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

20.21x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Rumble Inc. Insider Positioning

RUM ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $9.99M and sold $1.50M worth of RUM shares, resulting in $8.49M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

777.0K

4.22M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+4.2M

+$4.22M

6-9 Months

Bought

1.1M

5.77M

Sold

196.3K

1.50M

Net Activity

+4.3M

+$4.27M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
THSDC

Tether Holdings, S.A. De C.V.

10 Percent Owner

1.1M sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$5.77M

2
TGIFSS

Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.

10 Percent Owner

777.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$4.22M

Top Sellers

1
PC

Pavlovski Christopher

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

196.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.50M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $8.49M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

6.66:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

No Dividend Yield Data

RUM has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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rum Dividend History

RUM
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%