Atrium Therapeutics, Inc.

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc.

RNAยทNASDAQ

$12.17

-1.3%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Avidity Biosciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of oligonucleotide-based therapies. It develops antibody oligonucleotide conjugates (AOC) that are designed to treat a range of serious diseases. The company's lead product candidate AOC 1001 is used for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy type 1, a rare monogenic muscle disease; AOC 1044 for the treatment of Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy; and AOC 1020 designed to treat facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy which are in preclinical stage. It also offers Lumizyme therapy for Pompe diseases. Avidity Biosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$208.18M
EPS-4.4800
P/E Ratio-2.72
Earnings Date09/02/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -2.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum -1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -37.0%, ROIC -31.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin -4.1%, ROE -37.0%, ROIC -31.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +25.5%, momentum -1.3%, net margin -4.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

RNA ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc.

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

RNA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that RNA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $12.17, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Atrium Therapeutics, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $12.17
3Y+34.0%
5Y+119.0%
10Y+672.0%
3Y+102.0%
5Y+174.0%
10Y+4812.0%
3Y-56.0%
5Y+73.0%
10Y+543.0%
3Y-70.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+326.0%
3Y-69.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+339.0%
3Y-56.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y+6890.0%
Atrium Therapeutics, Inc.

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Profit Bridge

RNA ยท NASDAQ
Revenue18.62M
Cost of Goods Sold (0.00)
Gross Profit18.62M
Operating Expenses (95.43M)
Operating Income-76.81M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense-12.00K
Pretax Income-76.83M
Income Tax (-142.00K)
Net Income-76.68M
Net Income
-76.68M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

100.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-412.6%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-411.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

100.00%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y+18.0%
5Y-122.0%
10Y-105.0%
-412.58%
Operating Profit Margin
-88%
3Y-79.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-85.0%
-411.88%
Net Profit Margin
-86%
3Y-78.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-87.0%
-36.99%
Return on Equity
64%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+155.0%
10Y-227.0%
-27.55%
Return on Assets
34%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+107.0%
10Y-91.0%
-31.92%
Return on Invested Capital
24%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+130.0%
10Y-94.0%
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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

RNA ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-49.50M
Depreciation & Amortization323.00K
Stock-Based Compensation7.68M
Change in Working Capital-200.00K
Others712.00K
Capital Expenditures-1.45M
Free Cash Flow-42.57M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

86.0%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

-3.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+86.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$200.00K

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

RNA ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents267.85M
Net Receivables15.00M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets138.00K
Total Current Assets286 M
Property, Plant & Equipment6.38M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments415.00K
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets7 M
Total Assets
292.36M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

13.04x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.25x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

264 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

98% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Street Expectations Map

RNA ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that RNA stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 25.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 25.00 to a high of 25.00.

Lowest Target
25.00
105.42%
Consensus Target
25.00
105.42%
Highest Target
25.00
105.42%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 25.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 25.00 to a high of 25.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+105.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc. Insider Positioning

RNA ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $19.97M worth of RNA shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

25.4K

1.83M

Net Activity

-1.8M

-$1.83M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

67.5K

2.97M

Net Activity

-3.0M

-$2.97M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

330.0K

15.17M

Net Activity

-15.2M

-$15.17M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
LAA

Levin Arthur A

Director

107.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$5.12M

2
BS

Boyce Sarah

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

83.6K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$4.35M

3
MT

Mccarthy Teresa

Officer: Chief Human Resources Officer

47.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$2.23M

4
HSG

Hughes Steven George

Officer: Chief Medical Officer

48.1K sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$2.21M

5
FWM

Flanagan W. Michael

Officer: Chief Scientific Officer

42.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$1.61M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $19.97M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

rna Dividend History

RNA
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%