Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

RKLBยทNASDAQ

$114.70

-7.0%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

Rocket Lab USA, Inc., a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft engineering and design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions; and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets. It also designs, manufactures, and sells Electron small orbital launch vehicles and the Photon satellite platforms, as well as developing the Neutron 8-ton payload class launch vehicle; conducts remote launch activities; and designs and manufactures a range of components and subsystems for the Photon family of spacecraft and broader merchant spacecraft components. The company serves commercial, aerospace prime contractors, and government customers. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$66.40B
EPS-0.3700
P/E Ratio-310.00
Earnings Date08/06/2026
rklb

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Street Expectations Map

RKLB ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that RKLB stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 96.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 69.00 to a high of 120.00.

Lowest Target
69.00
-39.84%
Consensus Target
96.50
-15.87%
Highest Target
120.00
4.62%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 96.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 69.00 to a high of 120.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-15.9%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

52.8% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.12x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
601.80M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
879.46M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
756.50M - 960.22M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+46.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-198.21M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-111.87M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-134.17M - -31.94M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+43.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread91%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.37
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.18
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.27 - $-0.06
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+51.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread114%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-199.41M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-656.50M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-716.79M - -564.71M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-229.2%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-155.47M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-596.58M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-651.36M - -513.17M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-283.7%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

RKLB ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
165.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
491.62M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
422.89M - 536.77M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+197.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Insider Positioning

RKLB ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $54.49M worth of RKLB shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

89.8K

11.01M

Net Activity

-11.0M

-$11.01M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

470.1K

30.25M

Net Activity

-30.2M

-$30.25M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

99.1K

5.09M

Net Activity

-5.1M

-$5.09M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

309.6K

8.14M

Net Activity

-8.1M

-$8.14M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BP

Beck Peter

Director, Officer: Ceo

364.1K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$20.19M

2
SM

Saintil Merline

Director

151.1K sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$11.95M

3
SAR

Slusky Alexander R

Director

70.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$9.42M

4
OM

Ocko Matthew

Director

305.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$8.22M

5
SAC

Spice Adam C.

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

46.4K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$3.08M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $54.49M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$11.01M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.