RG

RideNow Group, Inc.

RDNW·NASDAQ

$3.71

+0.0000%
Consumer CyclicalAuto - Dealerships

RumbleON, Inc. operates a technology-based omnichannel platform to aggregate and distribute pre-owned vehicles in North America. It operates through three segments: Powersports, Automotive, and Vehicle Logistics. The Powersports segment distributes motorcycles. The Automotive segment distributes cars and trucks. The Vehicle Logistics segment provides automotive transportation services between dealerships and auctions. Its platform offers ability to buy, sell, trade, and finance new and pre-owned vehicles online or in store for dealers and consumers. The company was formerly known as Smart Server, Inc. and changed its name to RumbleON, Inc. in February 2017. RumbleON, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Irving, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$140.99M
EPS-0.8500
P/E Ratio-0.68
Earnings Date11/11/2025

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +6.9%, ROIC -2.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin -10.7%, ROE +6.9%, ROIC -2.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +100.7%, momentum 0.0%, net margin -10.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

r

RideNow Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

RDNW · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

RG

RideNow Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

RDNW · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that RDNW has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.71, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for RideNow Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.71
3Y+57.0%
5Y-95.0%
10Y+1068.0%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+44.0%
10Y-
3Y+708.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+160936.0%
3Y-376.0%
5Y-350.0%
10Y-304709.0%
3Y-313.0%
5Y-326.0%
10Y-297354.0%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+566.0%
10Y+17112975.0%
RG

RideNow Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

RDNW · NASDAQ
Revenue1.21B
Cost of Goods Sold (894.90M)
Gross Profit314.30M
Operating Expenses (329.00M)
Operating Income-14.70M
Interest Expense (64.10M)
Other Income/Expense-64.10M
Pretax Income-78.80M
Income Tax (-200.00K)
Net Income-78.60M
Net Income
-78.60M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

26.0%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

-1.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-6.5%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

25.99%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+332.0%
10Y-
-1.22%
Operating Profit Margin
-76%
3Y-12.0%
5Y-73.0%
10Y-
-6.50%
Net Profit Margin
-59%
3Y+525.0%
5Y+4.0%
10Y-
-214.17%
Return on Equity
5%
3Y+9398.0%
5Y-47.0%
10Y-770.0%
-10.41%
Return on Assets
-55%
3Y+1019.0%
5Y-77.0%
10Y-99.0%
-2.08%
Return on Invested Capital
-81%
3Y+411.0%
5Y-95.0%
10Y-100.0%
R

RideNow Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

RDNW · NASDAQ
Net Income-78.60M
Depreciation & Amortization14.30M
Stock-Based Compensation4.60M
Change in Working Capital139.20M
Others20.30M
Capital Expenditures-2.40M
Free Cash Flow97.00M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-123.4%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

22.0%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+277.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$139.20M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

r

RideNow Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

RDNW · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents59.80M
Net Receivables29.00M
Inventory274.90M
Other Current Assets2.50M
Total Current Assets366 M
Property, Plant & Equipment217.10M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets127.80M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.20M
Total Non-Current Assets218 M
Total Assets
712.30M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.16x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Working Capital

49 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

51% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

r

RideNow Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

RDNW · NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that RDNW stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.

Lowest Target
5.00
34.77%
Consensus Target
6.67
79.78%
Highest Target
8.00
115.63%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+79.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

45.0% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

r

RideNow Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

RDNW · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $500 worth of RDNW shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

100

500.00

Net Activity

-500

-$500

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SADI

San Angelo Dominick Iii

Director

100 shares1 transactions

$500

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $500 net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

No Dividend Yield Data

RDNW has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

 

rdnw Dividend History

RDNW
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%