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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock

PTRN·NASDAQ

$19.88

+1.5%
TechnologySoftware - Application

A tech-enabled ecommerce accelerator. Pattern helps brands grow sales across global online marketplaces (including Amazon, Walmart, TikTok Shop, etc.) via technology, analytics, logistics, advertising & content tools; they also purchase, distribute, and sell products on behalf of brands in many markets.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.08B
EPS-0.8900
P/E Ratio-22.34
Earnings Date06/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -22.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E -22.3, earnings yield N/A, momentum +1.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +2.8%, ROIC -84.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +0.7%, ROE +2.8%, ROIC -84.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +38.7%, momentum +1.5%, net margin +0.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PTRN · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

PTRN · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that PTRN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $19.88, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $19.88
3Y+642.0%
5Y+642.0%
10Y+642.0%
3Y+153.0%
5Y+153.0%
10Y+153.0%
3Y-646.0%
5Y-646.0%
10Y-646.0%
3Y+599.0%
5Y+599.0%
10Y+599.0%
3Y-4102.0%
5Y-4102.0%
10Y-4102.0%
3Y+93.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+93.0%
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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Profit Bridge

PTRN · NASDAQ
Revenue2.50B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.43B)
Gross Profit1.07B
Operating Expenses (1.05B)
Operating Income25.41M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense-26.20M
Pretax Income-794.00K
Income Tax (-17.04M)
Net Income16.25M
Net Income
16.25M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

42.9%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

1.0%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

0.6%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

42.92%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y-1.0%
5Y-1.0%
10Y-1.0%
1.02%
Operating Profit Margin
-79%
3Y+144.0%
5Y+144.0%
10Y+144.0%
0.65%
Net Profit Margin
-83%
3Y-316.0%
5Y-316.0%
10Y-316.0%
2.80%
Return on Equity
-84%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
1.71%
Return on Assets
-83%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
-84.13%
Return on Invested Capital
-638%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

PTRN · NASDAQ
Net Income-156.61M
Depreciation & Amortization16.80M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-46.56M
Others304.57M
Capital Expenditures-20.48M
Free Cash Flow78.92M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-50.4%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

20.6%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+58.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$46.56M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

PTRN · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents344.22M
Net Receivables141.28M
Inventory299.75M
Other Current Assets22.23M
Total Current Assets807 M
Property, Plant & Equipment75.31M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets53.13M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets31.27M
Total Non-Current Assets107 M
Total Assets
967.20M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.45x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.59x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

478 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

83% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Street Expectations Map

PTRN · NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that PTRN stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 24.00.

Lowest Target
20.00
0.60%
Consensus Target
21.67
9.00%
Highest Target
24.00
20.72%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 24.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+9.0%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

18.5% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Insider Positioning

PTRN · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for PTRN.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

No Dividend Yield Data

PTRN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

 

ptrn Dividend History

PTRN
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%