Kristian P. Talvitie
Thanks, Neil, and hello, everyone. Starting off with Slide 6. As you know, we believe ARR and free cash flow are the most important metrics to assess the performance of our business. To help investors understand our business performance, excluding the impact of FX volatility, we provide ARR guidance and disclose our ARR results on a constant currency basis. At the end of Q3, our constant currency ARR using our fiscal '25 plan FX rates was $2.372 billion, up 9.3% year-over-year. In Q3, our free cash flow was $242 million, up 14% year-over-year, while we continued to invest in our key focus areas. Note that the free cash flow we generated in Q3 absorbed approximately $3 million of outflows related to our go-to-market realignment. Turning to Slide 7. Let's look at our constant currency ARR growth in more detail. Looking at our product groups, our constant currency year-over-year ARR growth was 8% in CAD, driven primarily by Creo and 10% in PLM, driven primarily by Windchill, Codebeamer and IoT. On a year-over-year basis, constant currency ARR grew by 8% in the Americas, 11% in Europe and 11% in Asia Pacific. Moving to Slide 8. We ended Q3 with cash and cash equivalents of $199 million. At the end of Q3, total debt was $1.236 billion, and we were 1.2x levered. In Q3, we continued the disciplined and consistent execution of our $2 billion share repurchase program and used $75 million of cash to repurchase 444,000 shares of our common stock. We also continue to diligently pay down our debt in Q3 with our total debt balance decreasing by $156 million. In line with what we've said coming into the year, we intend to buy back approximately $300 million of our common stock in fiscal '25 with approximately $75 million of repurchases expected in Q4. Our fully diluted share count in fiscal '24 was 121 million, and we currently expect fully diluted shares to be approximately flat in fiscal '25. Looking forward, our capital allocation strategy is governed by a couple of key principles. First, we believe PTC should operate in a net debt position. And second, given the consistency and predictability of our free cash flow generation, we aim to maintain a low cash balance. As such, we expect to return excess cash to shareholders via share repurchases. With that, I'll take you through our guidance on Slide 9. All of the ARR amounts on this slide are based on our fiscal '25 planned FX rates as of September 30, 2024. We've updated our guidance ranges for ARR, cash flow, revenue and EPS to reflect our year-to-date results and our outlook for Q4. I'll get into more detail on our constant currency ARR guidance on the next 2 slides. On free cash flow, we've raised the low end of our previous guidance range, and we're now guiding to approximately $850 million for fiscal '25. This guidance absorbs roughly $20 million of cash outflows for severance and consulting fees related to our go-to-market realignment and these are cash outflows that we don't expect to incur next year. For Q4, we're guiding to free cash flow of $90 million to $95 million. At this point, we have good visibility to the free cash flow guidance we've provided for fiscal '25. First of all, during the first 3 quarters of the year, we've generated almost 90% of our full year guidance; second, focusing on cash inflows and as of the end of July, we've already built most of what we expect to collect for the remainder of '25. And third, on the cash outflow side of the equation, which is also important, we know what cash outflows we have planned for the last 2 months of the year. It's worth pointing out that our free cash flow guidance is not on a constant currency basis. So it's important to be mindful of FX volatility. Approximately 45% of our ARR is transacted in foreign currencies and approximately 35% of our non-GAAP cost of revenue and operating expenses are transacted in foreign currencies. So we have somewhat of a natural hedge. That said, significant FX moves can have an impact. Given where rates are today, it's worth pointing out that FX is still expected to be a headwind for the full year, but should be a modest tailwind for the second half. All of this has been contemplated in our execution and guidance throughout the year. Importantly, we've maintained consistent billing practices over time. We primarily bill our customers annually upfront 1 year at a time, regardless of contract term lengths. Over the medium term, we continue to expect our free cash flow to grow faster than our ARR with our non- GAAP operating expenses expected to grow at roughly half the rate of ARR. A basic tenet of our subscription business model and budgeting process is that there is natural operating leverage that we benefit from as our ARR grows. To help you with your models, we also provide revenue and EPS guidance. However, I'd like to reiterate my favorite reminder, ASC 606 makes revenue and EPS difficult to predict for PTC, since we primarily sell on-premise subscriptions and the way revenue is recognized from these contracts can vary significantly based on variables that aren't necessarily relevant to the performance of the business. I did a teach-in on this subject on our Q4 fiscal '22 earnings call that you may want to refer to if you're new to PTC. You can find the presentation on the Investors section of our website. The summary is we believe ARR and free cash flow rather than revenue and operating income are the best metrics to assess the performance of our business. Turning to Slide 10. Here's an illustrative constant currency ARR model that shows our guidance for Q4 in context. You can see our sequential net new ARR over the past 11 quarters. The column to the right illustrates the dollar range of Q4 sequential net ARR growth that corresponds to our updated Q4 constant currency ARR guidance range of 8% to 9%. As we've discussed on previous calls, fiscal '25 is back-end loaded due to the size and shape of our pipeline, which is influenced by the size and shape of our expiring base. The majority of our net new ARR comes from upsells, expansions and cross-sells, so our expiring base dynamics can be important. Raising the low end of the full year guidance to 8% from the 7% growth we talked about last quarter, essentially takes the COVID or GFC-like scenario off the table. The 8% to 9% range for Q4 allows for some ongoing variability given the macro environment, which Neil commented on earlier. For example, deals could be downsized fully structured in [rent]. But we feel good about the size of the pipeline going into Q4. Moving to Slide 11 [indiscernible] similar illustrative model for fiscal '25 results over the past year. And in the column on the right, it illustrates the dollar range of full year net ARR growth that is matched to our updated fiscal '25 constant currency ARR guidance range of 8% to 9%. Note that compared to other years shown on this slide, fiscal '24 benefited by approximately $10 million due to incremental deferred ARR in that year. Finally, and consistent with my reminder from last quarter, we expect churn to remain low in fiscal '25. Since transitioning to a subscription business model, our business has proved to be resilient because our customers need to maintain licenses to our software to continue designing and producing their products. And while we sell to engineering, manufacturing and services departments, most of our business is focused on engineering, where spending by our customers tends to be more protected. With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to the operator for the Q&A session.