Prospect Capital Corporation

Prospect Capital Corporation

PSECยทNASDAQ

$2.26

-8.1%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company. It specializes in middle market, mature, mezzanine finance, later stage, emerging growth, leveraged buyouts, refinancing, acquisitions, recapitalizations, turnaround, growth capital, development, capital expenditures and subordinated debt tranches of collateralized loan obligations, cash flow term loans, market place lending and bridge transactions. It also makes real estate investments particularly in multi-family residential real estate asset class. The fund makes secured debt, senior debt, senior and secured term loans, unitranche debt, first-lien and second lien, private debt, private equity, mezzanine debt, and equity investments in private and microcap public businesses. It focuses on both primary origination and secondary loans/portfolios and invests in situations like debt financings for private equity sponsors, acquisitions, dividend recapitalizations, growth financings, bridge loans, cash flow term loans, real estate financings/investments. It also focuses on investing in small-sized and medium-sized private companies rather than large public companies. The fund typically invests across all industry sectors, with a particular expertise in the energy and industrial sectors. It invests in aerospace and defense, chemicals, conglomerate services, consumer services, ecological, electronics, financial services, machinery, manufacturing, media, pharmaceuticals, retail, software, specialty minerals, textiles and leather, transportation, oil and gas production, coal production, materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities, pipeline, storage, power generation and distribution, renewable and clean energy, oilfield services, healthcare, food and beverage, education, business services, and other select sectors. It prefers to invest in the United States and Canada. The fund seeks to invest between $10 million to $500 million per transaction in companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $150 million, sales value between $25 million and $500 million, and enterprise value between $5 million and $1000 million. It fund also co-invests for larger deals. The fund seeks control acquisitions by providing multiple levels of the capital structure. The fund focuses on sole, agented, club, or syndicated deals.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.13B
EPS-1.3500
P/E Ratio-1.67
Earnings Date09/01/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum -8.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -15.7%, ROIC -7.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.7%, ROE -15.7%, ROIC -7.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +56.1%, momentum -8.1%, net margin +1.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

psec

Prospect Capital Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PSEC ยท NASDAQ
Current Price
$2.26
EPS (TTM)
$-0.36

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+72.9%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Earnings are growing but price is fallingโ€”potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.

Stock Price Change

-25.1%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 25.1%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-1.7x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Strong earnings growth (+72.9%) is outpacing price appreciation (+-25.1%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.

Prospect Capital Corporation

Prospect Capital Corporation Fair Value Envelope

PSEC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that PSEC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $2.26, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Prospect Capital Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $2.26
3Y-194.0%
5Y+2961.0%
10Y-566.0%
3Y-137.0%
5Y-265.0%
10Y-275.0%
3Y-181.0%
5Y+2796.0%
10Y-555.0%
3Y-166.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y-166.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y-11.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+8.0%
Prospect Capital Corporation

Prospect Capital Corporation Profit Bridge

PSEC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue-276.83M
Cost of Goods Sold (130.11M)
Gross Profit-406.94M
Operating Expenses (62.99M)
Operating Income-469.92M
Interest Expense (130.11M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income-469.92M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-469.92M
Net Income
-469.92M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

147.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

169.8%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

169.8%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

147.00%
Gross Profit Margin
114%
3Y+75.0%
5Y-96.0%
10Y-413.0%
169.75%
Operating Profit Margin
202%
3Y+116.0%
5Y-76.0%
10Y+160.0%
169.75%
Net Profit Margin
202%
3Y+116.0%
5Y-299.0%
10Y+159.0%
-15.72%
Return on Equity
-322%
3Y-211.0%
5Y+2862.0%
10Y-623.0%
-6.91%
Return on Assets
-306%
3Y-191.0%
5Y+2156.0%
10Y-519.0%
-7.00%
Return on Invested Capital
-306%
3Y-191.0%
5Y-372.0%
10Y-522.0%
PSEC

Prospect Capital Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

PSEC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-469.92M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-62.13M
Others1.06B
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow523.17M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-111.3%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

FCF Growth Trend

+86.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$62.13M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

psec

Prospect Capital Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

PSEC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents34.59M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets35 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
6.38B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.40x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

35 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

psec

Prospect Capital Corporation Street Expectations Map

PSEC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that PSEC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.50 to a high of 2.50.

Lowest Target
2.50
10.62%
Consensus Target
2.50
10.62%
Highest Target
2.50
10.62%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.50 to a high of 2.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+10.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

psec

Prospect Capital Corporation Insider Positioning

PSEC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $13.31M worth of PSEC shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

35.0K

80.32K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+80K

+$80K

3-6 Months

Bought

942.8K

2.75M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+2.7M

+$2.75M

6-9 Months

Bought

2.8M

7.49M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+7.5M

+$7.49M

9-12 Months

Bought

942.3K

3.00M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+3.0M

+$3.00M

Top Buyers

1
BJF

Barry John F

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

3.4M sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$9.55M

2
EMG

Eliasek M Grier

Director, Officer: Chief Operating Officer

1.3M sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.75M

3
SES

Stark Eugene S

Director

2.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$7K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $13.31M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$80K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

3 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

psec Dividend History

PSEC
10Y CAGR 5%
Latest $0.035
Annual $0.545
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%