Plug Power Inc.

Plug Power Inc.

PLUGยทNASDAQ

$3.69

-2.4%
IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts

Plug Power Inc. delivers end-to-end clean hydrogen and zero-emissions fuel cell solutions for supply chain and logistics applications, on-road electric vehicles, stationary power market, and others in North America and internationally. It engages in building an end-to-end green hydrogen ecosystem, including green hydrogen production, storage and delivery, and energy generation through mobile or stationary applications. The company provides proton exchange membrane (PEM), fuel cell and fuel processing technologies, and fuel cell/battery hybrid technologies, as well as related hydrogen and green hydrogen generation, storage, and dispensing infrastructure. The company offers GenDrive, a hydrogen-fueled PEM fuel cell system that provides power to material handling electric vehicles; GenFuel, a liquid hydrogen fueling delivery, generation, storage, and dispensing system; GenCare, an ongoing Internet of Things-based maintenance and on-site service program for GenDrive fuel cell systems, GenSure fuel cell systems, GenFuel hydrogen storage and dispensing products, and ProGen fuel cell engines; and GenSure, a stationary fuel cell solution that offers modular PEM fuel cell power to support the backup and grid-support power requirements of the telecommunications, transportation, and utility sectors. It also provides GenKey, an integrated turn-key solution for transitioning to fuel cell power; ProGen, a fuel cell stack and engine technology used in mobility and stationary fuel cell systems, and as engines in electric delivery vans; and GenFuel Electrolyzers that are hydrogen generators optimized for clean hydrogen production. The company sells its products through a direct product sales force, original equipment manufacturers, and dealer networks. It has strategic agreements with Airbus; Lhyfe; Edison Motors; Phillips 66; Apex Clean Energy; BAE Systems; and Universal Hydrogen Co. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Latham, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.23B
EPS-1.4100
P/E Ratio-1.40
Earnings Date08/10/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.7%, ROIC -31.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin -2.3%, ROE -1.7%, ROIC -31.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +61.3%, momentum -2.4%, net margin -2.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

plug

Plug Power Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PLUG ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Plug Power Inc.

Plug Power Inc. Fair Value Envelope

PLUG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that PLUG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.69, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Plug Power Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.69
3Y+13.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y+341.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-861.0%
10Y+726.0%
3Y+125.0%
5Y+174.0%
10Y+2738.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y+245.0%
10Y+1708.0%
3Y-39.0%
5Y+222.0%
10Y+654.0%
3Y-55.0%
5Y+91.0%
10Y+977.0%
Plug Power Inc.

Plug Power Inc. Profit Bridge

PLUG ยท NASDAQ
Revenue709.92M
Cost of Goods Sold (951.96M)
Gross Profit-242.04M
Operating Expenses (437.53M)
Operating Income-679.57M
Interest Expense (65.13M)
Other Income/Expense-1.01B
Pretax Income-1.69B
Income Tax (356.00K)
Net Income-1.63B
Net Income
-1.63B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

-34.1%

Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each saleโ€”unsustainable long-term.

Operating Margin

-95.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-229.8%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

-34.09%
Gross Profit Margin
-66%
3Y+23.0%
5Y-107.0%
10Y-842.0%
-95.73%
Operating Profit Margin
-70%
3Y-1.0%
5Y-115.0%
10Y+60.0%
-229.83%
Net Profit Margin
-31%
3Y+123.0%
5Y-136.0%
10Y+244.0%
-166.82%
Return on Equity
37%
3Y+836.0%
5Y+64.0%
10Y+147.0%
-62.89%
Return on Assets
8%
3Y+401.0%
5Y+43.0%
10Y+163.0%
-31.69%
Return on Invested Capital
-52%
3Y+145.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y+28.0%
PLUG

Plug Power Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

PLUG ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-1.63B
Depreciation & Amortization44.56M
Stock-Based Compensation34.23M
Change in Working Capital-27.99M
Others1.04B
Capital Expenditures-125.64M
Free Cash Flow-661.48M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

40.5%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-23.4%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+37.8%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$27.99M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

plug

Plug Power Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

PLUG ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents223.19M
Net Receivables130.82M
Inventory516.15M
Other Current Assets404.62M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment449.76M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets28.23M
Long-Term Investments45.61M
Other Non-Current Assets569.80M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
2.37B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.36x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.06x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

734 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

54% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

plug

Plug Power Inc. Street Expectations Map

PLUG ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that PLUG stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.85, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.00 to a high of 2.75.

Lowest Target
1.00
-72.90%
Consensus Target
1.85
-49.86%
Highest Target
2.75
-25.47%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.85, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.00 to a high of 2.75.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-49.9%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

94.6% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.35x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

plug

Plug Power Inc. Insider Positioning

PLUG ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.87M and sold $259K worth of PLUG shares, resulting in $1.61M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

37.3K

87.28K

Sold

80.0K

174.80K

Net Activity

-88K

-$88K

6-9 Months

Bought

105.7K

276.70K

Sold

31.0K

84.64K

Net Activity

+192K

+$192K

9-12 Months

Bought

1.0M

1.50M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1.5M

+$1.50M

Top Buyers

1
HBTP

Haycraft Benjamin Toby Patrick

Officer: Evp, Emea Region

1.0M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.44M

2
MA

Marsh Andrew

Director, Officer: Ceo

66.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$157K

3
CJL

Crespo Jose Luis

Officer: See Remarks

37.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$87K

4
WGK

Willis Gary K

Director

13.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$32K

5
HMO

Helmer Maureen O

Director

11.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$28K

Top Sellers

1
HB

Haycraft Benjamin

Officer: Cso & Gm Emea

111.0K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$259K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.61M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

7.19:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

No Dividend Yield Data

PLUG has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

plug Dividend History

PLUG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%