Palladyne AI Corp.
$7.81
-9.2%Palladyne AI Corp., a software company, focuses on delivering software that enhances the utility and functionality of third-party stationary and mobile robotic systems in the United States. Its Artificial Intelligence (AI)/ Machine Learning (ML) Foundational Technology enables robots to observe, learn, reason, and act in structured and unstructured environments. In addition, the company's technologies enable robotic systems to perceive their environment and quickly adapt to changing circumstances by generalizing from their experience using dynamic real-time operations without extensive programming, training, or the latency associated with processing in the cloud. Further, it offers Palladyne IQ used with industrial robots and cobots, enabling them to learn multiple tasks and handle disruptions or obstacles; and develops Palladyne Pilot for use with unmanned platform, such as Class 1 UAVs to enable persistent detection, identification, tracking, and classification of objects of interest by sharing situational awareness information across multiple drones that is derived by fusing multi-modal sensor data. It serves industrial manufacturing, defense, infrastructure maintenance, repair and surveillance, energy, and aerospace and aviation industries. The company was formerly known as Sarcos Technology and Robotics Corporation and changed its name to Palladyne AI Corp. in March 2024. Palladyne AI Corp. is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 30.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E 30.0, earnings yield +3.3%, momentum -9.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +13.4%, ROIC -35.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin +1.9%, ROE +13.4%, ROIC -35.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +22.0%, momentum -9.2%, net margin +1.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Palladyne AI Corp. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Palladyne AI Corp. Fair Value Envelope
Palladyne AI Corp. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Palladyne AI Corp. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Palladyne AI Corp. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Palladyne AI Corp. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PDYN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 12.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 12.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Palladyne AI Corp. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $149K and sold $843K worth of PDYN shares, resulting in $694K of net selling activity.
3 Months
1.0K
5.85K
76.0K
492.69K
-487K
-$487K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
26.3K
142.78K
30.9K
150.22K
-7K
-$7K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
27.0K
199.99K
-200K
-$200K
Top Buyers
Wolff Benjamin G
Director, Officer: President & Ceo
$103K
Young Michael T.
Director
$45K
Top Sellers
Garagic Denis
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$477K
Sonne Stephen
Officer: Chief Legal Officer
$144K
Thatcher Trevor
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$135K
Martindale Kristi
Officer: Chief Commercial Officer
$82K
Twitty Stephen
Director
$5K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $694K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
PDYN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
pdyn Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PDYN by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.