Ouster, Inc.
$43.96
-2.2%Ouster, Inc. designs and manufactures high-resolution digital lidar sensors and enabling software that offers 3D vision to machinery, vehicles, robots, and fixed infrastructure assets. Its product portfolio includes OS, a scanning sensor and DF, a true solid-state flash sensor. The company is based in San Francisco, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -41.1).
Valuation inputs: P/E -41.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -23.1%, ROIC -25.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin -35.6%, ROE -23.1%, ROIC -25.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +25.1%, momentum -2.2%, net margin -35.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Ouster, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Ouster, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Ouster, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Ouster, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Ouster, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Ouster, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that OUST stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 56.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 40.00 to a high of 75.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 56.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 40.00 to a high of 75.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Ouster, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $234K and sold $17.16M worth of OUST shares, resulting in $16.93M of net selling activity.
3 Months
7.5K
162.59K
399.3K
10.88M
-10.7M
-$10.72M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
81.1K
2.03M
-2.0M
-$2.03M
6-9 Months
1.0K
32.75K
106.3K
3.04M
-3.0M
-$3.00M
9-12 Months
1.7K
38.38K
40.4K
1.21M
-1.2M
-$1.17M
Top Buyers
Boulet Virginia
Director
$163K
Heystee Susan
Director
$71K
Top Sellers
Frichtl Mark
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$9.42M
Pacala Charles Angus
Director, Officer: President And Ceo
$2.27M
Heystee Susan
Director
$1.83M
Chung Megan
Officer: General Counsel And Secretary
$1.47M
Spencer Darien
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$1.05M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $16.93M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
oust Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on OUST by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.