Opendoor Technologies Inc.
$5.02
+1.7%Opendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -3.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E -3.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum +1.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.3%, ROIC -13.1%).
Profitability stack: net margin -29.7%, ROE -1.3%, ROIC -13.1%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +58.2%, momentum +1.7%, net margin -29.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Opendoor Technologies Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that OPEN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.
Opendoor Technologies Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $6.61M and sold $1.84M worth of OPEN shares, resulting in $4.77M of net buying activity.
3 Months
100.0K
487.80K
85.2K
372.58K
+115K
+$115K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
74.2K
320.63K
-321K
-$321K
6-9 Months
876.9K
6.00M
74.0K
583.96K
+5.4M
+$5.42M
9-12 Months
28.4K
121.27K
830.0K
561.52K
-440K
-$440K
Top Buyers
Wu Eric Chung-Wei
Director
$5.00M
Nejatian Kasra
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.49M
Radhakrishna Shrisha
Officer: President
$121K
Top Sellers
Schwartz Christina
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$1.23M
Wheeler Carrie
Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$377K
Schaub Sydney
Officer: Chief Legal Officer
$185K
Nguyen Giang
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$50K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $4.77M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโone of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Positive recent trend with net buying activity. Insiders have been accumulating shares in recent months.
Insider Participation
4 insider sellers vs. 3 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
No Dividend Yield Data
OPEN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
open Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on OPEN by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.