Opendoor Technologies Inc.

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

OPENยทNASDAQ

$5.02

+1.7%
Real EstateReal Estate - Services

Opendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.85B
EPS-1.7000
P/E Ratio-2.95
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -3.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E -3.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum +1.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.3%, ROIC -13.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -29.7%, ROE -1.3%, ROIC -13.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +58.2%, momentum +1.7%, net margin -29.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Opendoor Technologies Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

OPEN ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

Opendoor Technologies Inc. Fair Value Envelope

OPEN ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that OPEN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $5.02, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Opendoor Technologies Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $5.02
3Y-21.0%
5Y-26.0%
10Y-20.0%
3Y-72.0%
5Y+69.0%
10Y+515.0%
3Y-4.0%
5Y+414.0%
10Y+1432.0%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+54.0%
10Y-580.0%
3Y+50.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y-568.0%
3Y-64.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+31.0%
Opendoor Technologies Inc.

Opendoor Technologies Inc. Profit Bridge

OPEN ยท NASDAQ
Revenue4.37B
Cost of Goods Sold (4.07B)
Gross Profit304.00M
Operating Expenses (577.00M)
Operating Income-273.00M
Interest Expense (131.00M)
Other Income/Expense-1.03B
Pretax Income-1.30B
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-1.30B
Net Income
-1.30B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

7.0%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

-6.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-29.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

6.95%
Gross Profit Margin
-17%
3Y+62.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y-25.0%
-6.25%
Operating Profit Margin
1%
3Y+4.0%
5Y-13.0%
10Y-28.0%
-29.74%
Net Profit Margin
291%
3Y+242.0%
5Y+204.0%
10Y+149.0%
-129.35%
Return on Equity
135%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+694.0%
10Y-
-54.01%
Return on Assets
331%
3Y+164.0%
5Y+365.0%
10Y-
-13.12%
Return on Invested Capital
24%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+52.0%
10Y-
OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

OPEN ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-1.10B
Depreciation & Amortization46.00M
Stock-Based Compensation159.00M
Change in Working Capital1.16B
Others778.00M
Capital Expenditures-12.00M
Free Cash Flow1.04B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-94.6%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

1.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+267.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$1.16B

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Opendoor Technologies Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

OPEN ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents999.00M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory1.14B
Other Current Assets104.00M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment33.00M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets3.00M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets71.00M
Total Non-Current Assets104 M
Total Assets
2.35B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

7.07x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.46x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

95% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Opendoor Technologies Inc. Street Expectations Map

OPEN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that OPEN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.

Lowest Target
5.00
-0.40%
Consensus Target
6.17
22.91%
Highest Target
8.00
59.36%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 8.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+22.9%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

48.6% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

149.00x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Opendoor Technologies Inc. Insider Positioning

OPEN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $6.61M and sold $1.84M worth of OPEN shares, resulting in $4.77M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

100.0K

487.80K

Sold

85.2K

372.58K

Net Activity

+115K

+$115K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

74.2K

320.63K

Net Activity

-321K

-$321K

6-9 Months

Bought

876.9K

6.00M

Sold

74.0K

583.96K

Net Activity

+5.4M

+$5.42M

9-12 Months

Bought

28.4K

121.27K

Sold

830.0K

561.52K

Net Activity

-440K

-$440K

Top Buyers

1
WEC

Wu Eric Chung-Wei

Director

751.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$5.00M

2
NK

Nejatian Kasra

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

225.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.49M

3
RS

Radhakrishna Shrisha

Officer: President

28.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$121K

Top Sellers

1
SC

Schwartz Christina

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

222.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$1.23M

2
WC

Wheeler Carrie

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

671.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$377K

3
SS

Schaub Sydney

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

158.8K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$185K

4
NG

Nguyen Giang

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

10.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$50K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $4.77M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

3.60:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$115K

Positive recent trend with net buying activity. Insiders have been accumulating shares in recent months.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 3 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

No Dividend Yield Data

OPEN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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open Dividend History

OPEN
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%