ODP - NASDAQ

Good morning, and welcome to The ODP Corporation's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All lines will be on a listen-only mode for today's call. [Operator Instructions] At the request of the ODP Corporation, today's call is being recorded. I would like to introduce Tim Perrott, Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasurer. Mr. Perrott, you may now begin.

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for The ODP Corporation's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. This is Tim Perrott, and I'm here with Gerry Smith, our CEO; and Anthony Scaglione, our Executive Vice President and CFO. During today's call, Gerry will provide an update on the business, focusing much of his commentary on our accomplishments for the second quarter of 2023, including our operational performance and the progress we are making on all of our initiatives to drive shareholder value. After Gerry's commentary, Anthony will then review the details of the company’s second quarter results, including highlights of our divisional performance. Following Anthony's comments, we will open up the line for your questions. Before we begin, I’d like to inform you that certain comments made on this call include forward-looking statements, which are subject to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect the company's current expectations concerning future events and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. A detailed discussion of these risks and uncertainties are contained in the company's filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. During the call, we will use some non-GAAP financial measures as we describe business performance. The SEC filings, as well as the earnings press release, presentation slides that accompany today's comments and reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are all available on our website at investor.theodpcorp.com. Today's call and slide presentation is being simulcast on our website and will be archived there for at least one year. I will now turn the call over to Gerry Smith. Gerry?

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. We really appreciate you joining our call today, and we're excited to be here with you this morning to discuss our second quarter 2023 results. As you can see in the release that we issued this morning, we continue to drive solid operating results in an increasingly mixed demand environment, as we continue to leverage our new four business unit structure and execute upon our capital allocation plan. As highlighted on slide four of our presentation, we remain committed to operational excellence and our low-cost model approach, two anchor tenants of our disciplined strategy. For our team, operational excellence is not just a catch phrase, it's a cultural mindset that is ingrained into the fabric in how we run our business and how we create shareholder value. Using this approach, along with the strength and flexibility of our four business unit model, we again delivered strong operating results against an increasingly challenging macroeconomic backdrop and somewhat sluggish consumer activity. We delivered these results and continued our capital allocation program, making progress towards our long-term goal of returning $1 billion of shareholder capital. We also maintain a strong liquidity position and balance sheet. And I would like to thank our entire team for remaining focus on delivering these solid results, which is a true testament to our team's unwavering commitment to operational excellence and dedication to driving shareholder value. Therefore, before I cover the highlights of our Q2 results, I wanted to reemphasize our realigned forward business unit model and our strategy to unlock its potential. This is shown on slide 5. It's only been about nine months since we launched our realigned four business unit structure, and we're really excited and encouraged about the more dynamic and capable company it has helped us create. Our new structure allows us to more fully utilize our assets, provide greater transparency into the value of each of our businesses and positions us to pursue new avenues for growth. This structure has truly created a new ODP and our B2B and B2C businesses place us on a path to unlock our potential and create even more value for shareholders over time. One early shine example of how this structure is helping us unlock our growth potential can be found at Veyer. Veyer is our supply chain and logistics business that we have developed over the past three decades that was previously embedded as a primary support cost function for our business. We have separated Veyer as its own operating segment to pursue future growth by leveraging its world-class capabilities to bring its strong value proposition to continue to serve its internal customers ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot, as well as serving as existing and new external third-party customers. Veyer’s strong and competitive value proposition includes nationwide coverage capabilities, next-day delivery capability to about 98.5% of the

Thank you, Gerry, and good morning to everyone joining the call today. It's great to be here today to provide more details on our financial results for the second quarter. Before I begin, I'd like to thank our entire team for remaining focused and delivering solid performance. The operational foundation of our business remains strong. As you heard from Gerry, and as we have mentioned over our last few earnings calls, the macroeconomic environment remains challenging and not just for us but for most businesses in nearly all industries, record high inflation, which is outpacing wage increases, and higher interest rates have led to an overall slowing of demand. This environment has been negatively impacting not only the level of consumer activity, but also business activity as evidenced by some of the larger and well-publicized corporate layoffs and reductions in force. I would also point out that, while the input costs to our business or our cost of goods sold, which include product, shipping and other costs continue to be higher on an absolute basis, we have seen some cost deceleration as evidenced by container costs returning back to historical norms, lower fuel costs and fewer supply chain disruptions compared to last year. Despite these challenges, I'm still proud of our team for remaining focused on the factors that we can control and continue to drive our low-cost model with an eye toward continued cash generation, capital returns and earnings per share growth. In the quarter, we again delivered strong operating income and EBITDA results and significantly improved cash flow versus the prior year. And when combining our solid operational performance with our capital allocation priorities, we drove a 25% increase in adjusted earnings per share. This powerful combination of driving solid operating results, while buying back shares is a formula that we expect to continue to enhance value for our shareholders into the future and is the algorithm, I outlined at Investor Day. We continue to prioritize our capital returns, resulting in buying back approximately $31 million of stock in the quarter. And adding to this, our previous activity, we've repurchased approximately $390 million of our stock since putting the new plan in place back in November of last year. This equates to over 20% of our market value in the last nine months. Overall, our disciplined capital allocation and solid operational performance in the quarter continues to underscore our team's unwavering commitment to operational excellence and continues to be a testament of our winning 5C Culture. We're also encouraged by our four business unit structure and what this means for the future of our business, allowing us to more fully utilize our assets and positioning us to pursue greater opportunities for long-term growth. We continue to make good progress in our business. ODP Business Solutions expanded its margin profile in the quarter, moving closer to its long-term goals. And there continues to add new logos and is well on its way to more than doubling its third-party EBITDA this year. Despite top-line softness, Office Depot continues to leverage its omnichannel capabilities to meet customer needs and drive strong cash generation. And despite a slower start, Varis continues to have a strong value proposition and we are working to enhance the platform's capabilities along with onboarding new customers. Our realigned structure with these four business units pursuing growth independently and working in concert will help us to continue to drive shareholder value over time. Now turning to the highlights of our financial results, as shown on slide 12. Consistent with previous quarters, we have provided our results on both a GAAP and adjusted basis. We generated total revenue of $1.9 billion in the second quarter, down 6% versus Q2 of last year as weaker macro conditions slowed consumer activity, creating top-line headwinds at Office Depot. Lower sales at Office Depot were due to 68 fewer stores in service compared to last year as well as lower retail and online consumer traffic and transactions. This was partially offset by stable sales in ODP Business Solutions. As return to office trends helped to offset some of the macro headwinds and higher-than-anticipated corporate reductions in force that have recently made headlines. GAAP operating income in the quarter was $46 million, up 60% from Q2 of last year. Also included in operating income was a net $4 million of charges associated with non-cash asset impairments primarily related to the right-of-use assets associated with our store locations. Adjusted operating income for Q2 was $53 million, flat with last year and included unallocated corporate expenses of $19 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $86 million for the quarter compared to $91 million in the same period last year. This includes depreciation and amortization expense of $29 million and $34 million in the second quarter of 2023 and 2022, respectively. Excluding the after-tax impact from the items mentioned earlier, adjusted net income for the second quarter was $39 million or $0.99 per diluted share, representing a 25% increase in adjusted EPS and driven by consistent net income and strong execution under our share repurchase program. Turning to cash generation. In the quarter, we significantly improved cash flow compared to last year. Operating cash used in the quarter was $8 million, an improvement of over $106 million versus cash use of $114 million last year. Capital expenditures in the quarter were $23 million compared to $21 million in the prior year period. Adjusted free cash outflow in the quarter was $30 million, a significant improvement versus the $121 million outflow in Q2 of last year. This is a particularly impressive result considering that Q2 is a quarter that we build up inventory in advance of our back-to-school season. I want to thank our entire team for being laser-focused on managing our working capital particularly inventory and focusing on cash conversion, resulting in the strong year-over-year cash flow results. Taken together, these results reflect our relentless focus on driving operational excellence, even in light of the aforementioned top-line pressure. Now I'd like to cover our business unit performance, starting with our ODP Business Solutions division on slide 13. Notwithstanding the macro headwinds Jerry mentioned earlier, ODP business solutions continued to deliver strong operating performance, expanding its margins on stable revenue results year-over-year. Revenue was approximately $1 billion in Q2 and up slightly with the same period last year. Back to office trends, while continuing in a positive direction were somewhat muted by other macro factors impacting certain customer spend. Our Federation companies, our regional tuck-in M&A entities continued to show solid growth in the quarter. We've been successfully executing this strategy in growing this business, which now generates well over $500 million in revenue on an annual basis. This market continues to be highly fragmented and our disciplined approach gives us tremendous runway to keep growing our platform strategically over time. From a product and services standpoint, we saw continued demand across core supplies as well as increasing sales in certain adjacency categories, including cleaning and breakroom and copy and print. Sales of technology products, which were in high demand last year during the supply chain constraints were lower in the quarter. Our adjacency product categories as a percentage of total revenue remained at 44%. As a notable KPI for ODP Business Solutions, this percentage may fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter, but our long-term objective is to consistently grow adjacencies and both on an absolute dollar and percentage basis as we expand our value proposition and continue to leverage our strength in core categories. For 2023, we expect this percentage to be flat to slightly up over last year as back-to-office trends drive core supplies growth. From an operating perspective, ODP Business Solutions is on path to drive its EBITDA margins back to pre-COVID levels with an opportunity to expand long-term margins beyond this level by staying true to our low-cost model. We made great progress on this goal during the quarter, generating operating income of $45 million, a 25% increase relative to last year. This represents a 100-basis point margin improvement as a percentage of sales. EBITDA was $50 million in the quarter, up over 20% from last year and representing nearly a 5% EBITDA margin. This strong operating performance is a true testament to our low-cost model. While we expect the macro environment to remain challenging in the second half, we're seeing some of the best sales pipeline and opportunities ahead of us, and we are excited about the modifications we have made to our go-to-market strategy and how this will drive sales growth and future efficiencies in our operating model going forward. Now turning to our consumer division results, as shown on Slide 14. Our Office Depot Consumer division continued to provide excellent service and a compelling value proposition to our customers as demonstrated by NPS scores remaining above 70% and some of the highest scores in any consumer business. However, from a top line perspective, the quarter presented its challenges, as the slowing economy had the effect of moderating the level of consumer spending and overall activity in the U.S. We have seen this reported in the press and by other large consumer businesses over the recent quarters. referencing how the lack of stimulus and overall weak economy is hampering the level of consumer activity. Along with most other consumer businesses, this environment is creating some top line headwinds in our business as well. Reported revenues in the quarter were approximately $900 million, down 13% and driven by 68 fewer retail stores in service this year versus last year related to planned store closures as well as lower traffic and transactions in both our retail and e-commerce channels. On a shifted basis, same-store sales were down approximately 6%. Store traffic and demand relative to last year were negatively impacted by weaker economic activity and higher unemployment as well as the recovery from the pandemic as a greater percentage of consumers return to the office. From a product perspective, stronger sales of copy and print were more than offset by lower sales in core supplies and in other categories previously in stronger demand during the later stages of the pandemic, including technology, cleaning and breakroom and furniture. Sales per shopper was down mostly due to lower average order volumes, partially offset by higher conversion rates. From an operating perspective, operating income was $35 million in the quarter, down compared to $49 million last year. Lower operating income compared to last year was primarily driven by the flow-through impact from lower sales and higher input costs related to inflation. While we expect the macro environment to remain challenging in the second half of the year, we continue to drive our low-cost model approach, creating a strong operational foundation as we head into the higher demand back-to-school season over the next few weeks. We also remain excited about the feedback we are receiving regarding the new category assortments we've selectively launched, including our dorm room offering as well as celebrations and party assortment categories. From an e-commerce perspective, we've hired a new leader who is realigning our digital marketing efforts designed to drive greater traffic and conversion. So overall, while it was a challenging quarter for our consumer business, we're focused on driving the components of our business that we can control, and believe we are well positioned to continue to drive this cash engine of our business. Now turning to Slide 15. I wanted to highlight Bayer's financial results and provide insights into their operations. We're very excited about the continued progress Bayer has made during the quarter, driving efficient services for its internal customers and gaining traction with third parties. As Jerry mentioned earlier, Bayer specializes in B2B and consumer business service delivery with core competencies in distribution, fulfillment, transportation and procurement. And this also includes our global sourcing operation in Asia. They serve the needs of its primary internal customers, Office Depot and ODP Business Solutions, as well as for other third parties through our procurement and supply chain business. And as a reminder, from an internal perspective, a key component of Bayer mission is to be an efficient supply chain provider to Office Depot and ODP Business Solutions, which in turn drives the best results upon consolidation for our entire ODP enterprise. Therefore, as I mentioned previously, as Bayer undertake actions to drive efficiencies and effectively serve its internal customers, the intercompany revenue and corresponding allocated profit to their could fluctuate over time. Simply put, through our intercompany agreements as Bayer drives greater efficiency for its internal customers, much of this benefit is captured through ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot, benefiting the entire enterprise rather than being reflected only in Bayer's results. Looking at ways to continue to optimize its network and drive the low-cost model, not only helps its internal customers, but also provides a strong value proposition for new external customers. Regarding its financial results for Q2, Bayer drove sales of $1.3 billion, predominantly supporting the purchasing and supply chain operations of OTT Business Solutions and Office Depot, which are effectively eliminated upon consolidation. Excluding intercompany sales, Bayer continuing to drive services to its third-party customers and win new business with some great market-leading logos. In the quarter, Bayer drove approximately $10 million in sales to external parties up over 50% compared to the same period last year, highlighting continued strong traction in providing services to third-party customers. But as we discussed at Investor Day, external sales is not the only metric for Bayer. From a bottom line perspective, Bayer's total operating income for Q2 was $6 million compared to $8 million last year, primarily due to the aforementioned intercompany transactions, mix and third-party activity. From an external customer perspective, we continue to see solid early traction in EBITDA generation. In the quarter, we generated about $3 million in EBITDA from third-party customers, a 140% increase over Q2 last year, positioning us well on our way to more than double EBITDA from third-party customers in 2023. Now turning briefly to Varis on Slide 16. As a reminder, Varis is our digitally native B2B procurement platform. While recently launched Varis has been working to add customers and suppliers to its network, addressing customer feedback and making tech stack updates, while adding new features to the platform. As Varis continues to fine-tune its network and features, they are working to smooth out onboarding customers, ensuring the right level of services delivered and available for its new customers at the right time, all with a long-term goal of ramping up gross transaction volume through the network. While Varis is off to a slower start to its revenue ramp this year than what we anticipated, it continues to add new customers and suppliers. Keeping in mind that the platform only recently launched and ramping customer’s activity takes time, which from a results perspective, led to lower sales momentum than what we expected at the start of the year. During the quarter, Varis generated about $2 million in revenue, primarily from subscription derived from existing customers. Overall, Varis generated an operating loss of $14 million, down from an operating loss of $16 million in Q2 of last year, driven primarily from lower employee-related costs. Now briefly turning to our balance sheet highlights, as shown on Slide 17. We ended the quarter with total liquidity of $1.1 billion, consisting of $335 million in cash and cash equivalents, which includes cash held internationally of approximately $100 million and $811 million in availability under our asset-based lending facility. Total debt at the end of the quarter was approximately $181 million. As Gerry previously mentioned, we have been buying back shares under our $1 billion share authorization. In Q2, we repurchased 724,000 shares for approximately $31 million. Adding this to our activity since the program began, we retired about 8.3 million shares for approximately $385 million. We continue to be disciplined and focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, allowing continued flexibility to invest in our business and repurchase shares. And as we announced previously, during the quarter, we successfully completed the sale and partial leaseback of our headquarters building. We sold the building for approximately $104 million and expect an additional $10 million of cash tax benefits once our federal returns are finalized. We continue to be a valued tenant in the space and with our smaller footprint, the sale helps us lower our annual operating expense, while better meeting our team's workplace needs through consolidation and collaboration. Now turning to our 2023 guidance as shown on Slide 18. Our performance in the first half of the year was solid, and we remain in a strong capital position with our low-cost model and strong balance sheet. While we're cautious on the state of the consumer and general macroeconomic conditions, our continued focus on operational excellence has us well positioned to continue to drive solid operating results for the balance of the year. As we look to the second half, we're laser-focused on managing the levers in our business that we can control, and continuing to drive our profitable growth initiatives across our four business units. Considering our first half performance, current macroeconomic conditions and expectations for revenue trends in the second half of the year, we updated our revenue guidance to a target at approximately the low end of our previous guidance range or approximately $8 billion, while reaffirming our guidance for other operating metrics, including adjusted operating income, EBITDA, free cash flow and CapEx. Also, given our strong performance to-date, we are announcing that we are increasing our adjusted earnings per share guidance to a revised range of $5 to $5.30, up from our previous range of $4.50 to $5.10. Our guidance assumes some stabilization in overall economic trends in the second half. Looking forward, we believe that we have good line of sight to our revenue guidance of approximately $8 billion. However, we are being disciplined on cost and price with an eye toward maintaining our focus on cash and EPS growth. Additionally, baked into our revised guidance, we expect operating loss in Varis to be slightly higher in the range of $60 million to $70 million for 2023 with no anticipated change in their CapEx range. Looking at this from a cash use perspective, we expect cash use in Varis to approximately be $65 million to $70 million for the full year, down from a cash use in 2022 of approximately $100 million. So overall, despite the challenging macroeconomic conditions and solve their top line, we remain in a solid operating position, driving cash flow and with our continued focus on delivering capital returns to shareholders, significant earnings per share growth. With that, operator, we will turn the call over for questions.

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Jeff Lick with B. Riley.

Good morning, guys. Can you hear me?

Yeah. Good morning, Jeff.

Good morning, Jeff.

Sure. Go ahead.

Congrats on a great quarter. Just starting with Business Solutions, Obviously, there's a lot of factors going back and forth. You've got the commercial office situation, and there's the back-to-work narrative. And you mentioned the pipeline heating up, and you didn't talk about Federated strategy. I'm just curious, as you look to the back half of the year, how do you see all those factors kind of playing out? And I don't know if you gave an implied guidance, do you expect business solutions to show a little growth in the back half?

Yes, we do. This is Gerry. And thanks for the comments, Jeff. But we do have a lot of pipeline. We have a number of new customer acquisitions that should be ramping in Q3 and Q4 and again, we're super excited by the largest backlog we've had in a long time. Obviously, some headwinds from returning the office, but we see good growth in the Federation. And we see good performance across a number of segments. Education, for example, is coming back. And so I think we have a very balanced approach and our expectation is we're going to have growth in Q3 and Q4. And as you saw from an operating margin perspective, fantastic operating margins compared to last year, as we talked about. We started that process 1.5 years ago, driving the low-cost model to your business. And [indiscernible] and his team have done a fantastic job of doing that. And we feel like we're very well positioned. We took a bunch of costs out of the business where both from a COGS as well as SG&A perspective that was in the second half as well as 24 were set up nicely. Anthony?

Yeah. The only thing I would add, Jeff, is as you think about the levers that we can control, and I think that's a really important one. We're managing through a relatively choppy macro environment, staying vigilant on costs, staying vigilant from a cash conversion perspective. Looking at how we can continue to provide that value proposition to our customers without chasing any bad deals. And that's the key here, driving what's going to make us successful in the long-term, leaning in on our private brand driving this assortment expansion, things that we can control and really drive that value to our customers at the end of the day.

And then with respect to the Office Depot division, you've referenced the sluggish economy. I'm just curious, if you could highlight things that were was more sluggishness or maybe less. And then as we get into Q3 and Q4, if you could talk about the opportunities in dorm room back-to-school celebration and any other adjacent categories where despite the challenging economic backdrop, maybe there's, some areas for some gains.

Yes. We – back-to-school really launches here. We've had by week school flights and the big ones are this week, next week and the following week. And so too early to call, but early preliminary is we like the trend that we're seeing. Clear softness from a consumer perspective. We have consumer. We have small business, and we have hybrid work from homes or three segments we focus on. I think primarily the consumer is the driver of that. But I will say, laser-focused on labor cost, laser-focused on low-cost model. Our COGS initiatives are on track and ahead of schedule. And so we're very confident that – let's be clear, this is a great cash engine. Kevin knows that very, very clearly. And I'm super proud of the operating cash flow we drove for the quarter. Our inventory is in the best position we've been a long time. We're setting the stores, we're doing a really good job of focusing on COGS, cash inventory and obviously, driving growth as well. Anthony?

Yes. The only thing I would add on the college collections and party supplies in just launched, so early days, early indications from feedback from our customers that it's a positive. They like to see those categories in our stores and us refreshing to see that expansion. But it's early days, but we're starting to see some really exciting things on the horizon as it relates to that expansion.

And one, we have a good relationship with Crayola. We launched much larger linear footage in the stores in some test markets. We did a putlog with our board a couple of weeks ago, and super excited by what our merchandising team, Lauren and team has done and what we have this huge opportunity to -- and so far, it's testing really well. And really from Crayola from zero to five, all the way through pre-school, all the way through more and more fine or supply at the lower end of the market for my college and above perspective. So when we get a chance to get down here, we'd love to show you that. But we're really excited by some of that core opportunity expansion as well.

And just if I can on Veyer, the external goal, the longer-term goal, 2025, being $30 million of EBITDA as you sit here today, based on what you're seeing in Q2's results, which it seems like probably were incrementally better than you thought. I'm just curious -- how are you feeling about that goal? And what would you specifically point to that seems to be going better than you thought?

Yes. I'm super proud of John and his team. I think that, for example, if you break it up from what we call vendor consolidation, which is actually, we're delivering the product from the supplier to our distribution centers, and we can do that, obviously, a more cost effective than some of our partners can do. That business is up year-to-date more than it was the entire last year. So that's gone well. Our backhaul, which is when the truck is empty, once we deliver something empty truck, that's up 40% year-over-year. We have great logos across all those pieces. And the 3PL business, which is the core long-term piece is a number of exciting logos. And so we're $5 million of our -- into the target of, I think, is $8 million target. So I'm super optimistic we're going to smash that and I'm super optimistic once we smashed that, that we're not going to give you a number yet, Jeff, I know you want, but I'm very optimistic of beating that $30 million target in three years. I have a much higher target on John Gannfors and his teams, go ahead on a consistent basis, and I'm excited with that business. And that's -- as you and I talked about with Tim and Anthony, that's a multiple expansion opportunity. That's a higher multiple business. We're demonstrating that. I know it's still small, but there's some really good shade a greener that I'm super optimistic about.

And then last one on gross margin, Anthony. Year-over-year for the Q1 and Q2, you're up 60 bps. There's a variety of factors. Obviously, there's a mix shift, Business Solutions, there is a lower gross margin then there will be Office Depot. I know last year, Q3, I think represents easiest compare for some of the supply chain issues. I think that's the case. Can you just talk about how to think about gross margin for the year? Would you expect given that there'll be a structural or a mathematical headwind with the mix shift. Will you expect gross margin to be up year-over-year in Q3 and Q4?

Yes. We saw some of that in Q2. So if you think about the disruptions that came into the channel last year, primarily on the ocean freight, that really started to build through Q2, Q3. And you saw that both in how we manage from a cash flow perspective and how we manage from a margin perspective. That's behind us now. So as we're starting to land new products with a lower container costs as we turn those products, that will have a better opportunity from a margin recapture perspective. You saw some of that in Q2, and you should be able to see that continuing in Q3, Q4, assuming the growth top line that we've outlined in the release.

And Jeff, one other thing to add is Anthony and I with Kevin and John and for as we started very beginning of the year, a two to three times a week, we call cash and COGS review with all our merchants and all our procurement people. We made significant progress working with our vendor partners on what should be COGS should be, and so -- and we have a very aggressive target to continue to drive COGS across the business. I take the coordinated effort, multiple RFQs going on. But that's also a nice tailwind for us as we continue to have success across that in the back half has been also setting up 24% as well. And so yes, there's a mix shift ODP Business Solutions. We want Dave to grow like crazy. But we also know that we're going to be in a better COGS position. And candidly, we have the best balance sheet in the segment. I mean, our balance sheet, we'll name other people, but we're net cash positive. A lot of others aren't. And that puts us in a great position with our vendors as well as our customers going forward. I think that's something very, very strategic that all of you need to look at and say, we're extremely well positioned over the next three years with our balance sheet and our liquidity.

Perfect. I will let others jump in and ask questions and congrats again.

Very nice, go Jeff.

Our next question comes from the line of Michael Lasser with UBS.

Good morning. Thanks a lot for taking my question. You reduced your top line guidance for the year at the midpoint from $8.2 billion to $8 billion. We call it a $200 million reduction. How does that $200 million breakdown between the consumer business, Business Solutions and presumably Veyer is a small piece of it given the modest top line growth that, that business has right now?

Hey Michael. How you’re doing? This is Anthony. It's predominantly going to be in our Office Depot consumer business. We're expecting to Gerry's point, some growth in Business Solutions in the back half, so we factored a cautious view of the six months given our first half performance. So that's going to be primarily attributable to our B2C business.

And on the expected growth in the Business Solutions business in the back half, how does that break down between market share gains and underlying growth in the market, especially because unemployment rate right now is 3.5%. There is a ceiling or a stabilization in return to office, so it would seem like the main environment for the Business Solutions segment, not going to get any easier from here, if anything, it might just get a little tougher.

Yeah, it's a great question. It's one that we've, obviously, spent a lot of time analyzing as it relates to the return to office trend with the backdrop of some reductions in ports that you're seeing from large organizations that obviously have the counteracting impact to growth. But I can be more prouder around what the team has brought together from a market share perspective. We're seeing our fair share of bids to Gerry's point, our pipeline is the strongest it's been ever since I've been here for the last three years. So we're really confident that we're seeing some opportunities to gain share, as well as continue to work with our customers to grow, and our expectation is we're going to do both in the back half and setting us up for 24 where we can see some of that tailwind continue.

On the Varis ramp that's been a little slower than what you had expected. What is the issue that's been causing that?

Michael, good morning. It's Gerry. It's primarily the tech stack we're building, it's a very difficult tech stack to build, and that's going to be a huge moat and a competitive advantage in the future. It took longer than we expected. So it shifted out a couple of quarters. But even this week, we've had some really good progress of getting through some of the issues. We are ramping customers, but some of the tech stack issues that we're solving in the near-term are allowing us to be broader and ramp customers faster. That's the primary driver of the business. People love the value proposition. We have a number of retail wins from a global perspective, they're implementing and ramping. But as we get the tech stack in place, and Terry's team have done a great job of solving through those issues. It's going to help us get the ramp back up on track. Obviously, it shifted the ramp out a couple of quarters, and so you'll see a shift to the right. But I'm still very bullish on the Varis team, we're seeing great customer feedback. Again, it's a hard piece of technology, but we do know we're making progress on it once we get through this, it's going to be a technology advantage because this is not something people just can do easily. This is hard to do what we're doing.

Two last questions. Number one, in light of the softness on the consumer side and the fact that you have made a change in leadership in the e-commerce front, does that suggest that e-commerce has been a particular source of weakness on that business? And historically, this is a business that's comp down, call it, 5% for a long period of time, now comps trending down 8% range despite recognizing that there's been a bit of improvement in quarter -- current quarter-to-date. Are you just seeing an acceleration in some of the challenges overall on the consumer side of the business?

Yes. Let me start, Michael. We run off, because a true omnichannel. So we don't break out e-commerce separately. But we saw a decline consistent to what you've probably seen through other pure-play providers, and some of the e-commerce challenges can be attributed to external search engine algorithms that are out of our control. So we were impacted by that in the first half. And I would say we expect that to improve in the second half, but consistent with what you've seen other, what I would call pure-play e-commerce declines is what we are seeing in our business as well. So slightly higher than that historical average that you just mentioned.

And Chris and Kevin are doing a great job with our tech team, Andy and Carl going after the structure issues, probability and some other pieces. We've got a number of partners coming on to help us as well. Both our agencies have done a great job. So we're really pushing the structural improvements, and we're hoping those start yielding results in Q3 and Q4.

Okay. And the last question is this year, Office people is on pace to be, call it, a 22% gross margin. Gross margin was up considerably in the second quarter. Prior to the pandemic, Office Depot or ODP consistently at a 23% to 24% gross margin. So a, can it get back to that level? And b, what drove the improvement this quarter especially in light of what was probably some supply chain deleverage, at least in the consumer business, given the sales decline.

I think that's what Anthony you mentioned earlier, and I also mentioned it's a relentless focus on low-cost model, operational excellence. I mean, Michael, we started these reviews. We've been digging in deep myself, Anthony, John and Kevin, all the teams and we're making substantial progress. Karen Miller, Eric, me and the teams are driving COGS improvements across the business, working our partners. Our supply chain costs have dramatically improved this year as well. So we're really setting ourselves up really nice tailwinds in Q3 and Q4. I think structurally, we're going to be in a way better position from a 2024 perspective as well as our finance teams have done a great job with working with Kevin's team and Dave's team driving our pricing models to make sure we're -- as Anthony said earlier, we don't want to just price bad deals either. So Adam and Mike Keller's done a fantastic job being an overlay of that. And so I'm very optimistic on the gross margin pieces. And I think that's going to be a real differentiator for us compared to other people in the industry.

Yes. And the only thing I would add, Michael, is obviously, mix plays a big part of our gross margin. So if you think about our prepared remarks being down in tech being down in certain categories that have a lower margin. So as you look at the mix, mixing into core, mixing into other higher margin product will have that impact. So some of this is going to be the mix driving the overall GP.

Okay. Thank you very much.

Thanks, Michael.

Our last question comes from Joe Gomes with Noble Capital.

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Hi, Joe. Good morning. Nice to meet you.

Same here. So I just wanted to talk a little bit about the adjacencies in the OVP business. Just trying to get a better handle on, what you think the long-term growth rate for that subsegment of products should be for the ODP business segment?

Yes. I'll talk about structural Anthony give specifics. I mean, if I look at the -- close to the core piece, our cleaning and breakroom business, I absolutely believe that's the business going to grow substantially in the future. I mean it's -- I mean whether people are at work or not, people -- you have to keep your buildings clean. We have a $700 million business today, which is a really big business on the wrong multiple, of course, and there needs to be a higher multiple, I got to get that in. Tim's looking over at me to make sure I right on that. But the reality is that should be a high-growth business for us. Furniture and tech, obviously, tech is in a tough place right now across all tech, but that will recover in the future. From a furniture perspective and the other one is our copy and print business is a really solid business with really high margins. Is this something we just got to continue to focus on growing. And we're going to look at some other categories as well, whether it's safety and some other areas we can start pushing that business across the line. But all those businesses should be growth businesses. Dave and Tom and Steve and Chris and Brian and team are doing a great job of driving that. But we're also driving the core really well as well. But I mean, it's -- the goal of my mind is that needs to be over 50% of the business, that's my sort of target internally. But that's -- as the core grows, we'll keep taking that because it's high-margin business. It is higher margin business than some of the agents.

Yeah. And the only thing I would add, there Gerry hit all the key points is we're looking at both the percentage increase in the dollar increase. It's important as we look at the core in some of these core categories that are low growth or no growth categories that we're maintaining our fair share, growing them through market acquisitions, but also looking at the overall growth from a percentage and dollar perspective and making sure that we're driving those adjacencies as appropriate with our customer base.

Okay. Thanks for that. On the Federation, kind of maybe lay out what you perceive in terms of adding additional businesses to that segment here kind of in the near to medium term?

Yeah. Joe, this Federation has been a huge success for us. It's over a $500 million business. All our Federation partners have done a fantastic job of getting COGS synergies from the business and driving increased profitability. We have a great IRR on all those businesses and we're super happy with it. We'll continue to shop and add businesses to the Federation. We're talking to overpay for it. We have got a great balance sheet. We're going to continue to do it. We've got a big target. And Brian White and teams had have done a great job of managing this business. We have to continue to drive the business, and we think there's opportunities to grow that in the future. Obviously, we're not going to give specifics because we want to make sure as we negotiate these opportunities. And we think we're a great place for the Federation companies to come to. We give -- we love the sales teams stay facing the customers. We let the leadership run the business. We consolidate some of the back-office expense. We give huge synergies to these partners -- and so we want to continue to do that. We think there's multiple opportunities in the next two to three, four years to go off and go do that.

Okay. Thanks. And one last one for me, if I may -- you revised your EPS range up in the -- for the year. I was just wondering what impact, if any, you're calculating in there regarding future buybacks in the second half of the year.

Yeah, we're staying disciplined with the capital allocation that you saw in Q2. So we're expecting at this point to be at a pace roughly at the same dollar amount, which was roughly about $30 million. And we'll look opportunistically as we close out Q3 and whether it alter that pace going forward, given where we are on the balance sheet, liquidity and cash flow perspective. So there's opportunities for us to revise that. But at this time, our guidance assumes a similar pace of what you saw.

I think the majority of the driver of that is really operating EBITDA performance, operating income performance confidence. So we affirm that confidence of EBITDA and AOI. And obviously, yes, back helps, but primary percentage of that is just strong operational excellence and driving performance, low-cost business model.

Okay. Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on the quarter.

All right. I want to thank everyone for joining the call today. I want to just highlight that, again, I'm really proud of the team. Thank you team for strong operating results and demonstrating operator excellence in our 5C culture, a 25% increase in EPS. We reaffirm our guidance on operating income and raised EPS. Our share repurchase program is strong. Our balance sheet is strong, great performance by our bar and ODP Business Solutions team -- and obviously, we'll continue to drive a low-cost model, our operational expense across the business going forward and look forward to talking to everyone in Q3. Thank you. Have a great day.