NSTS Bancorp, Inc.

NSTS Bancorp, Inc.

NSTS·NASDAQ

$13.65

-0.15%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. operates as a savings and loan holding company for North Shore Trust and Savings that provides banking products and services in Illinois. The company offers checking, money market, savings, and time deposit accounts; and one- to four-family residential mortgage, multi-family and commercial real estate, construction, home equity, and consumer loans. It operates through a main banking office in Waukegan, Illinois; and two full-service branch offices located in Waukegan and Lindenhurst, Illinois, as well as a loan production office in Chicago, Illinois. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Waukegan, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$71.82M
EPS-0.0790
P/E Ratio-172.78
Earnings Date05/14/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -172.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -172.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -0.5%, ROIC +0.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin -2.9%, ROE -0.5%, ROIC +0.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +70.0%, momentum -0.1%, net margin -2.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

nsts

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

NSTS · NASDAQ
Current Price
$13.65
EPS (TTM)
$-0.02

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+86.6%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growth—a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+9.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 9.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-172.8x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Strong earnings growth (+86.6%) is outpacing price appreciation (+9.4%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.

NSTS Bancorp, Inc.

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

NSTS · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that NSTS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $13.65, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for NSTS Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $13.65
3Y-890.0%
5Y+282.0%
10Y-203.0%
3Y+77.0%
5Y+78.0%
10Y+71.0%
3Y-1530.0%
5Y+245.0%
10Y-193.0%
3Y+36.0%
5Y-754.0%
10Y+132.0%
3Y+42.0%
5Y-645.0%
10Y+142.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+13.0%
NSTS Bancorp, Inc.

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

NSTS · NASDAQ
Revenue13.27M
Cost of Goods Sold (3.34M)
Gross Profit9.93M
Operating Expenses (10.31M)
Operating Income-386.00K
Interest Expense (3.53M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income-386.00K
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-386.00K
Net Income
-386.00K

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

74.8%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-2.9%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-2.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

74.84%
Gross Profit Margin
3%
3Y-19.0%
5Y+1.0%
10Y-2.0%
-2.91%
Operating Profit Margin
-56%
3Y-226.0%
5Y-65.0%
10Y-169.0%
-2.91%
Net Profit Margin
-56%
3Y-908.0%
5Y+94.0%
10Y-155.0%
-0.48%
Return on Equity
-53%
3Y-1541.0%
5Y+101.0%
10Y-153.0%
-0.14%
Return on Assets
-49%
3Y-1520.0%
5Y+213.0%
10Y-182.0%
0.56%
Return on Invested Capital
-180%
3Y+2205.0%
5Y-481.0%
10Y-12.0%
NSTS

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

NSTS · NASDAQ
Net Income-386.00K
Depreciation & Amortization302.00K
Stock-Based Compensation678.00K
Change in Working Capital-1.42M
Others3.74M
Capital Expenditures-104.00K
Free Cash Flow3.95M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-1022.8%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

2.6%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-56.7%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.42M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

nsts

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

NSTS · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.03M
Net Receivables918.00K
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets79 M
Property, Plant & Equipment5.05M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets5 M
Total Assets
270.32M

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.38x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

79 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

29% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

nsts

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NSTS · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for nsts.

nsts

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

NSTS · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for NSTS.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

No Dividend Yield Data

NSTS has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

 

nsts Dividend History

NSTS
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%