ML

Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock

MLCI·NASDAQ

$4.47

-2.6%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

lternative asset management and insurance solutions company focused on public and private debt securities in North America, and reinsurance of annuity products; following a merger with 180 Degree Capital, operating via subsidiaries such as Mount Logan Management LLC and Ability Insurance Company.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$50.05M
EPS-7.0800
P/E Ratio-0.63
Earnings Date05/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -66.9%, ROIC -1.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.9%, ROE -66.9%, ROIC -1.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +94.3%, momentum -2.6%, net margin +4.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MLCI · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

MLCI · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that MLCI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $4.47, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $4.47
3Y-425.0%
5Y-557.0%
10Y-557.0%
3Y-125.0%
5Y-156.0%
10Y-156.0%
3Y-226.0%
5Y-312.0%
10Y-312.0%
3Y-119.0%
5Y-61.0%
10Y-61.0%
3Y-119.0%
5Y-67.0%
10Y-67.0%
3Y+4.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y-5.0%
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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Profit Bridge

MLCI · NASDAQ
Revenue-12.42M
Cost of Goods Sold (47.26M)
Gross Profit-59.68M
Operating Expenses (29.38M)
Operating Income-89.06M
Interest Expense (9.35M)
Other Income/Expense30.60M
Pretax Income-58.46M
Income Tax (2.39M)
Net Income-60.85M
Net Income
-60.85M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

480.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

717.0%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

489.9%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

480.48%
Gross Profit Margin
1441%
3Y+735.0%
5Y+307.0%
10Y+307.0%
717.04%
Operating Profit Margin
4591%
3Y+4450.0%
5Y+376.0%
10Y+376.0%
489.87%
Net Profit Margin
17050%
3Y+411.0%
5Y+276.0%
10Y+276.0%
-66.90%
Return on Equity
-785%
3Y-186.0%
5Y-136.0%
10Y-136.0%
-3.80%
Return on Assets
-1249%
3Y-221.0%
5Y-322.0%
10Y-322.0%
-158.61%
Return on Invested Capital
-2404%
3Y-8272.0%
5Y-2142.0%
10Y-2142.0%
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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

MLCI · NASDAQ
Net Income-60.85M
Depreciation & Amortization4.08M
Stock-Based Compensation1.97M
Change in Working Capital5.43M
Others23.04M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-22.18M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

36.5%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.

FCF Growth Trend

-179.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$5.43M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

MLCI · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents15.00M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets15 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets41.15M
Long-Term Investments1.12B
Other Non-Current Assets-1.12B
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
1.60B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

36.76x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

16.60x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

15 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Street Expectations Map

MLCI · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for mlci.

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Insider Positioning

MLCI · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for MLCI.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.54%
Dividend Yield
-20%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
 

mlci Dividend History

MLCI
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.03
Annual $0.06
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%