Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

MCRIยทNASDAQ

$120.16

-1.0%
Consumer CyclicalGambling, Resorts & Casinos

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel and casino in Reno, Nevada. The company also owns and operates the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. As of December 31, 2021, its Atlantis Casino Resort Spa featured approximately 61,000 square feet of casino space; 818 guest rooms and suites; 8 food outlets; 2 gourmet coffee and pastry bars; a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon with an enclosed pool; 2 retail outlets offering clothing and gift shop merchandise; an 8,000 square-foot family entertainment center; and approximately 52,000 square feet of banquet, convention, and meeting room space. The company's Atlantis Casino Resort Spa also featured approximately 1,400 slot and video poker machines; approximately 37 table games, including blackjack, craps, roulette, and others; a race and sports book; a 24-hour live keno lounge; and a poker room. In addition, its Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk featured approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space; approximately 1,100 slot machines; approximately 40 table games; 10 bars and lounges; 4 dining options; 516 guest rooms and suites; banquet and meeting room space; a retail store; a concierge lounge; an upscale spa and pool facility; and a nine-story parking structure with approximately 1,350 spaces, as well as valet parking with a total parking capacity to approximately 1,500 spaces. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Reno, Nevada.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.13B
EPS5.5500
P/E Ratio21.65
Earnings Date07/15/2026
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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Street Expectations Map

MCRI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that MCRI stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 104.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 97.00 to a high of 112.00.

Lowest Target
97.00
-19.27%
Consensus Target
104.50
-13.03%
Highest Target
112.00
-6.79%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 104.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 97.00 to a high of 112.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-13.0%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

14.4% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.35x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
545.12M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
565.65M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
564.64M - 566.67M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3.8%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
101.39M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
107.84M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
107.27M - 112.03M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+6.4%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
5.55
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$5.78
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$5.65 - $5.91
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+4.2%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
131.37M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
106.36M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
106.17M - 106.55M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-19.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
185.82M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
160.05M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
159.77M - 160.34M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-13.9%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

MCRI ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
109.38M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
131.65M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
131.41M - 131.88M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+20.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Insider Positioning

MCRI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.17M and sold $2.93M worth of MCRI shares, resulting in $1.76M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

8.0K

899.63K

Net Activity

-900K

-$900K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.2K

470.59K

Net Activity

-471K

-$471K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

66.7K

1.17M

Sold

18.3K

1.56M

Net Activity

-385K

-$385K

Top Buyers

1
FJ

Farahi John

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo

66.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.17M

Top Sellers

1
SCF

Sullivan Craig F

Director

18.3K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$1.56M

2
FJ

Farahi John

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo

8.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$900K

3
LY

Landau Yvette

Director

12.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$405K

4
AP

Andrews Paul

Director

3.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$66K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Negative insider sentiment with $1.76M net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.40:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$900K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.