LSI Industries Inc.

LSI Industries Inc.

LYTSยทNASDAQ

$22.84

-5.2%
TechnologyHardware, Equipment & Parts

LSI Industries Inc. manufactures and sells non-residential lighting and retail display solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Australia, and Latin America. It operates in two segments, Lighting and Display Solutions. The Lighting segment manufactures, markets, and sells non-residential outdoor and indoor lighting solutions. It also offers lighting control products, including sensors, photocontrols, dimmers, motion detection, and Bluetooth systems to support lighting fixtures; and designs, engineers, and manufactures electronic circuit boards, assemblies, and sub-assemblies. The Display Solutions segment manufactures, sells, and installs exterior and interior visual image and display elements, including printed and structural graphics, digital signage, menu board systems, display fixtures, refrigerated displays, and custom display elements. Its products comprise signage and canopy graphics, pump dispenser graphics, building fascia graphics, decals, interior signage and marketing graphics, aisle markers, wall mural graphics, and refrigerated and non-refrigerated merchandising displays. This segment also implements, installs, and provides program management services, such as installation management, site surveys, permitting, and content management; and manages and executes the implementation of large rollout programs. It serves petroleum/convenience, parking lot and garage, quick-service restaurant, retail and grocery store, automotive, warehouse, and sports complex markets. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$711.93M
EPS0.8200
P/E Ratio27.85
Earnings Date08/20/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 27.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 27.9, earnings yield +3.6%, momentum -5.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +10.6%, ROIC +8.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.3%, ROE +10.6%, ROIC +8.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +41.8%, momentum -5.2%, net margin +4.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

lyts

LSI Industries Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LYTS ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

LSI Industries Inc.

LSI Industries Inc. Fair Value Envelope

LYTS ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that LYTS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $22.84, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for LSI Industries Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $22.84
3Y+49.0%
5Y+122.0%
10Y+116.0%
3Y+26.0%
5Y+88.0%
10Y+78.0%
3Y+62.0%
5Y+154.0%
10Y+157.0%
3Y-1087.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+114.0%
3Y-679.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+358.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+130.0%
10Y+103.0%
LSI Industries Inc.

LSI Industries Inc. Profit Bridge

LYTS ยท NASDAQ
Revenue573.38M
Cost of Goods Sold (431.60M)
Gross Profit141.78M
Operating Expenses (106.01M)
Operating Income35.77M
Interest Expense (3.13M)
Other Income/Expense-2.73M
Pretax Income33.04M
Income Tax (8.65M)
Net Income24.38M
Net Income
24.38M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

24.7%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

6.2%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

4.3%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

26.2%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

24.73%
Gross Profit Margin
-13%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y-5.0%
6.24%
Operating Profit Margin
-18%
3Y+34.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+44.0%
4.25%
Net Profit Margin
-20%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+35.0%
10Y+45.0%
10.57%
Return on Equity
-14%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y+73.0%
6.15%
Return on Assets
-14%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+27.0%
8.55%
Return on Invested Capital
-11%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+42.0%
LYTS

LSI Industries Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

LYTS ยท NASDAQ
Net Income24.38M
Depreciation & Amortization12.57M
Stock-Based Compensation4.94M
Change in Working Capital-4.20M
Others2.80M
Capital Expenditures-3.46M
Free Cash Flow34.65M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

142.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

9.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-8.8%

Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.20M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

lyts

LSI Industries Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

LYTS ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets279.17M
Total Current Assets279 M
Property, Plant & Equipment57.80M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets463.57M
Total Non-Current Assets521 M
Total Assets
800.55M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.48x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.27x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

91 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

35% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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LSI Industries Inc. Street Expectations Map

LYTS ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that LYTS stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 27.00.

Lowest Target
27.00
18.21%
Consensus Target
27.00
18.21%
Highest Target
27.00
18.21%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 27.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.2%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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LSI Industries Inc. Insider Positioning

LYTS ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $135K and sold $7.97M worth of LYTS shares, resulting in $7.83M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

93.0K

2.26M

Net Activity

-2.3M

-$2.26M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

5.7K

134.98K

Sold

250.0K

5.71M

Net Activity

-5.6M

-$5.58M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
HA

Hanson Amy

Director

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

2
BRD

Brown Ronald D

Director

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

3
BRP

Beech Robert P.

Director

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

4
LCE

Lenard Chantel E

Director

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

5
OWT

Ogara Wilfred T

Director

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

Top Sellers

1
CJA

Clark James Anthony

Director, Officer: Ceo And President

250.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$5.71M

2
CTA

Caneris Thomas A

Officer: Evp, Hr And General Counsel

60.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.46M

3
GJE

Galeese James E

Officer: Executive Vp; Cfo

22.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$549K

4
OWT

Ogara Wilfred T

Director

10.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$250K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $7.83M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.02:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.26M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 4 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.27%
Dividend Yield
-2%
3Y-23.0%
5Y-54.0%
10Y-40.0%
ย 

lyts Dividend History

LYTS
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.05
Annual $0.25
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%