Intuitive Machines, Inc.
$33.83
-1.9%Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -48.3).
Valuation inputs: P/E -48.3, earnings yield N/A, momentum -1.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +11.1%, ROIC -13.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin -39.6%, ROE +11.1%, ROIC -13.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +73.1%, momentum -1.9%, net margin -39.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Intuitive Machines, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that LUNR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 75.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 75.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.19M and sold $48.60M worth of LUNR shares, resulting in $46.41M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
550.2K
13.19M
-13.2M
-$13.19M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
2.0M
35.39M
-35.4M
-$35.39M
6-9 Months
241.1K
2.19M
0
0.00
+2.2M
+$2.19M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
1.8K
16.38K
-16K
-$16K
Top Buyers
Blitzer Michael
Director
$2.19M
Top Sellers
Altemus Stephen J
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$30.49M
Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed
Director, 10 Percent Owner:
$10.65M
Crain Timothy Price Ii
Officer: Svp & Cto
$5.94M
Mcgrath Peter
Officer: Svp And Cfo
$1.03M
Jones Anna Chiara
Officer: Svp, Clo & Corporate Secretary
$408K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $46.41M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
lunr Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on LUNR by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.