LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

LPLAยทNASDAQ

$282.67

+2.8%
Financial ServicesFinancial - Capital Markets

LPL Financial Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an integrated platform of brokerage and investment advisory services to independent financial advisors and financial advisors at financial institutions in the United States. Its brokerage offerings include variable and fixed annuities, mutual funds, equities, retirement and education savings plans, fixed income, and insurance, as well as alternative investments, such as non-traded real estate investment trusts and auction rate notes. The company also provides advisory platforms that provide access to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, stocks, bonds, certain option strategies, unit investment trusts, and institutional money managers and no-load multi-manager variable annuities. In addition, it offers money market programs; and retirement solutions for commission-and fee-based services that allow advisors to provide brokerage services, consultation, and advice to retirement plan sponsors. Further, the company provides other services comprising tools and services that enable advisors to maintain and grow their practices; trust, investment management oversight, and custodial services to trusts for estates and families, as well as insurance brokerage general agency services; and technology products, such as proposal generation, investment analytics, and portfolio modeling. The company was formerly known as LPL Investment Holdings Inc. and changed its name to LPL Financial Holdings Inc. in June 2012. LPL Financial Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in San Diego, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$22.61B
EPS10.9700
P/E Ratio25.77
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 25.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 25.8, earnings yield +3.9%, momentum +2.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +16.2%, ROIC +11.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +5.1%, ROE +16.2%, ROIC +11.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +71.1%, momentum +2.8%, net margin +5.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

lpla

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LPLA ยท NASDAQ
Current Price
$282.67
EPS (TTM)
$11.26

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

-23.5%

Declining earnings warrant investigation into business challenges and competitive position.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Both price and earnings are declining together, reflecting deteriorating business fundamentals.

Stock Price Change

-29.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 29.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

25.8x

Elevated P/E indicates investors expect strong future growth.

LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Fair Value Envelope

LPLA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that LPLA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $282.67, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for LPL Financial Holdings Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $282.67
3Y+3.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+410.0%
3Y+98.0%
5Y+189.0%
10Y+320.0%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+83.0%
10Y+350.0%
3Y-122.0%
5Y-154.0%
10Y-254.0%
3Y-161.0%
5Y-257.0%
10Y-775.0%
3Y+95.0%
5Y+180.0%
10Y+282.0%
LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Profit Bridge

LPLA ยท NASDAQ
Revenue16.99B
Cost of Goods Sold (12.64B)
Gross Profit4.35B
Operating Expenses (2.06B)
Operating Income2.28B
Interest Expense (403.41M)
Other Income/Expense-1.14B
Pretax Income1.15B
Income Tax (286.48M)
Net Income863.02M
Net Income
863.02M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

25.6%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

13.4%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

5.1%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

24.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

25.59%
Gross Profit Margin
-6%
3Y-7.0%
5Y+1.0%
10Y-50.0%
13.45%
Operating Profit Margin
3Y-7.0%
5Y+8.0%
10Y-173.0%
5.08%
Net Profit Margin
-41%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-66.0%
16.15%
Return on Equity
-55%
3Y-59.0%
5Y-55.0%
10Y-31.0%
4.67%
Return on Assets
-41%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-35.0%
10Y+18.0%
11.55%
Return on Invested Capital
-7%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-8.0%
10Y-351.0%
LPLA

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

LPLA ยท NASDAQ
Net Income863.02M
Depreciation & Amortization651.61M
Stock-Based Compensation79.40M
Change in Working Capital-2.61B
Others539.71M
Capital Expenditures-570.38M
Free Cash Flow-993.42M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-115.1%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

-134.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-248.6%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$2.61B

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

lpla

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

LPLA ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.02B
Net Receivables866.50M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.47B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets6.07B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
18.84B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.31x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

11% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

lpla

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Street Expectations Map

LPLA ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that LPLA stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 441.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 374.00 to a high of 500.00.

Lowest Target
374.00
32.31%
Consensus Target
441.00
56.01%
Highest Target
500.00
76.88%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 441.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 374.00 to a high of 500.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+56.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

28.6% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

lpla

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. Insider Positioning

LPLA ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.67M worth of LPLA shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.6K

1.13M

Net Activity

-1.1M

-$1.13M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.1K

363.52K

Net Activity

-364K

-$364K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

221

75.69K

Net Activity

-76K

-$76K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

274

102.13K

Net Activity

-102K

-$102K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CME

Cohen Marc Eliot

Officer: Group Managing Director

3.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.02M

2
JA

Jambusaria Aneri

Officer: Group Managing Director

468 sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$151K

3
EM

Enyedi Matthew

Officer: Group Managing Director

463 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$147K

4
SR

Steinmeier Richard

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

332 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$122K

5
GG

Gates Greg

Officer: Group Managing Director

335 sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$121K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.67M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.13M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.10%
Dividend Yield
19%
3Y-33.0%
5Y-43.0%
10Y-91.0%
ย 

lpla Dividend History

LPLA
10Y CAGR +2%
Latest $0.3
Annual $1.5
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%