The Lovesac Company

The Lovesac Company

LOVEยทNASDAQ

$15.43

+2.3%
Consumer CyclicalFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. It offers sactionals, such as seats and sides; sacs, including foam beanbag chairs; and accessories comprising drink holders, footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans. As of January 30, 2022, the company operated 146 showrooms. It markets its products primarily through lovesac.com website, as well as showrooms at top tier malls, lifestyle centers, kiosks, mobile concierges, and street locations in 39 states of the United States; and in store pop-up- shops and shop-in-shops. The Lovesac Company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$228.05M
EPS0.2800
P/E Ratio55.11
Earnings Date06/11/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 55.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E 55.1, earnings yield +1.8%, momentum +2.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +1.9%, ROIC +0.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +0.6%, ROE +1.9%, ROIC +0.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +59.1%, momentum +2.3%, net margin +0.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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The Lovesac Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LOVE ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

The Lovesac Company

The Lovesac Company Fair Value Envelope

LOVE ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that LOVE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $15.43, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Lovesac Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $15.43
3Y-82.0%
5Y-91.0%
10Y-154.0%
3Y-
5Y+40.0%
10Y+585.0%
3Y-83.0%
5Y-91.0%
10Y-174.0%
3Y-35.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y-1900.0%
3Y-45.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y-374.0%
3Y+31.0%
5Y+213.0%
10Y+2481.0%
The Lovesac Company

The Lovesac Company Profit Bridge

LOVE ยท NASDAQ
Revenue697.12M
Cost of Goods Sold (319.11M)
Gross Profit378.01M
Operating Expenses (372.65M)
Operating Income5.36M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense1.30M
Pretax Income6.67M
Income Tax (2.60M)
Net Income4.07M
Net Income
4.07M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

54.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

0.8%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

0.6%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

39.0%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

54.22%
Gross Profit Margin
-7%
3Y+3.0%
5Y-
10Y-1.0%
0.77%
Operating Profit Margin
-62%
3Y-86.0%
5Y-83.0%
10Y-110.0%
0.58%
Net Profit Margin
-66%
3Y-86.0%
5Y-87.0%
10Y-106.0%
1.86%
Return on Equity
-65%
3Y-86.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-102.0%
0.76%
Return on Assets
-65%
3Y-88.0%
5Y-91.0%
10Y-102.0%
0.79%
Return on Invested Capital
-67%
3Y-90.0%
5Y-94.0%
10Y-101.0%
LOVE

The Lovesac Company Cash Conversion Engine

LOVE ยท NASDAQ
Net Income4.07M
Depreciation & Amortization15.21M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-6.39M
Others34.55M
Capital Expenditures-23.14M
Free Cash Flow26.18M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

644.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

46.9%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

0.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$6.39M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

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The Lovesac Company Funding & Solvency Profile

LOVE ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents101.85M
Net Receivables11.73M
Inventory106.32M
Other Current Assets16.73M
Total Current Assets237 M
Property, Plant & Equipment249.72M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets2.52M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets32.42M
Total Non-Current Assets282 M
Total Assets
534.68M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.61x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.44x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

90 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

44% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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The Lovesac Company Street Expectations Map

LOVE ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that LOVE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 22.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 26.00.

Lowest Target
18.00
16.66%
Consensus Target
22.50
45.82%
Highest Target
26.00
68.50%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 22.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 26.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+45.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

35.6% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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The Lovesac Company Insider Positioning

LOVE ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $75K and sold $27K worth of LOVE shares, resulting in $48K of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

1.5K

25.03K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+25K

+$25K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

1.0K

14.41K

Sold

1.5K

26.75K

Net Activity

-12K

-$12K

9-12 Months

Bought

2.0K

35.45K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+35K

+$35K

Top Buyers

1
NSD

Nelson Shawn David

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

2.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$39K

2
MWF

Mclallen Walter Field

Director

2.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$35K

Top Sellers

1
RS

Romig Shirley

Director

1.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$27K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Positive insider sentiment with $48K net buying. Buying activity substantially exceeds selling, indicating insider confidence.

Buy/Sell Ratio

2.80:1

Strong buy/sell ratio. Buying is at least double the selling activity, suggesting robust insider confidence.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$25K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

No Dividend Yield Data

LOVE has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

love Dividend History

LOVE
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%