El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

LOCOยทNASDAQ

$13.88

-2.5%
Consumer CyclicalRestaurants

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of May 04, 2022, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$422.72M
EPS0.9100
P/E Ratio15.25
Earnings Date07/30/2026
loco

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

LOCO ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that LOCO stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.50 to a high of 15.00.

Lowest Target
13.50
-2.74%
Consensus Target
14.25
2.67%
Highest Target
15.00
8.07%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.50 to a high of 15.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+2.7%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

10.5% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

2.95x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
490.05M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
496.14M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
491.20M - 501.08M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1.2%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

loco

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
26.49M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
28.65M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
28.07M - 29.23M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+8.2%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

loco

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
0.91
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.95
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.93 - $0.97
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+4.8%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
42.46M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
40.33M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
39.93M - 40.73M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-5.0%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

loco

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
58.42M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
57.14M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
56.57M - 57.71M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-2.2%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

LOCO ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
50.26M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
43.93M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
43.49M - 44.36M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-12.6%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

loco

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

LOCO ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $176K worth of LOCO shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

16.1K

176.09K

Net Activity

-176K

-$176K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BM

Buller Mark

Director

11.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$125K

2
FI

Fils Ira

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

4.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$51K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $176K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.