Lineage, Inc.

Lineage, Inc.

LINEยทNASDAQ

$42.70

+1.3%
Real EstateREIT - Industrial

Lineage, Inc. engages in the provision of temperature-controlled warehouse real estate investment trust (REIT). It operates through the Global Warehousing and Global Integrated Solutions segments. The Global Warehousing segment composes of industrial real estate properties to provide temperature-controlled warehousing services to its customers. The Global Integrated Solutions segment consists of specialized cold-chain services. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Novi, MI.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$9.72B
EPS-0.4300
P/E Ratio-99.30
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -99.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E -99.3, earnings yield N/A, momentum +1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.2%, ROIC +1.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin -1.8%, ROE -1.2%, ROIC +1.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +51.8%, momentum +1.3%, net margin -1.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Lineage, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LINE ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Lineage, Inc.

Lineage, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

LINE ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that LINE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $42.6977, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Lineage, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $42.6977
3Y+43.0%
5Y-53.0%
10Y-69.0%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+934.0%
10Y+7.0%
3Y+56.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y-78.0%
3Y+88.0%
5Y+251.0%
10Y-45.0%
3Y-163.0%
5Y-26.0%
10Y-88.0%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+598.0%
10Y+17.0%
Lineage, Inc.

Lineage, Inc. Profit Bridge

LINE ยท NASDAQ
Revenue5.36B
Cost of Goods Sold (4.53B)
Gross Profit826.00M
Operating Expenses (574.00M)
Operating Income252.00M
Interest Expense (268.00M)
Other Income/Expense-367.00M
Pretax Income-115.00M
Income Tax (-2.00M)
Net Income-98.00M
Net Income
-98.00M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

15.4%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

4.7%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

-1.8%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.

15.42%
Gross Profit Margin
-53%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-85.0%
10Y-85.0%
4.71%
Operating Profit Margin
-30%
3Y-178.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y-152.0%
-1.83%
Net Profit Margin
-85%
3Y+43.0%
5Y-93.0%
10Y-80.0%
-1.19%
Return on Equity
-85%
3Y-3.0%
5Y-87.0%
10Y-88.0%
-0.51%
Return on Assets
-86%
3Y+50.0%
5Y-90.0%
10Y-81.0%
1.39%
Return on Invested Capital
-26%
3Y-181.0%
5Y-128.0%
10Y-148.0%
LINE

Lineage, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

LINE ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-100.00M
Depreciation & Amortization895.00M
Stock-Based Compensation126.00M
Change in Working Capital-11.00M
Others49.00M
Capital Expenditures-747.00M
Free Cash Flow196.00M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-196.0%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

79.2%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+1533.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$11.00M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Lineage, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

LINE ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents67.00M
Net Receivables917.00M
Inventory137.00M
Other Current Assets142.00M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment12.96B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets4.49B
Long-Term Investments135.00M
Other Non-Current Assets198.00M
Total Non-Current Assets13 B
Total Assets
19.05B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.85x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.10x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

-227000000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

7% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attentionโ€”potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.

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Lineage, Inc. Street Expectations Map

LINE ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that LINE stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.43, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 47.00.

Lowest Target
35.00
-18.03%
Consensus Target
39.43
-7.65%
Highest Target
47.00
10.08%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.43, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 47.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-7.7%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

30.4% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.56x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Lineage, Inc. Insider Positioning

LINE ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $6.68M worth of LINE shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

24.5K

936.97K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+937K

+$937K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

129.0K

4.37M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+4.4M

+$4.37M

9-12 Months

Bought

33.1K

1.37M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1.4M

+$1.37M

Top Buyers

1
MKP

Marchetti Kevin Patrick

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Co-Executive Chairman

68.6K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$2.65M

2
FAMS

Forste Adam Matthew Schwartz

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Co-Executive Chairman

74.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.50M

3
LRA

Lemasters Robb A.

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

30.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.01M

4
CR

Crisci Robert

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$346K

5
TSV

Thattai Sudarsan V

Officer: See Remarks

3.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$151K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $6.68M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$937K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

1.79%
Dividend Yield
6%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

line Dividend History

LINE
10Y CAGR +3%
Latest $0.532
Annual $2.6425
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +1%