Kura Oncology, Inc.

Kura Oncology, Inc.

KURAยทNASDAQ

$8.65

-3.5%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Kura Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company's pipeline consists of small molecule product candidates that target cancer. Its lead product candidates are ziftomenib, a small molecule inhibitor of the menin-Lysine K-specific Methyltransferase 2A protein-protein interaction for the treatment of genetically defined subsets of acute leukemias, including acute myeloid leukemia and acute lymphoblastic leukemia; and tipifarnib, an orally bioavailable inhibitor of farnesyl transferase that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of solid tumors and hematologic indications. The company has a clinical collaboration with Novartis to evaluate the combination of tipifarnib and alpelisib in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma whose tumors have HRAS overexpression or PIK3CA mutation and/or amplification. Kura Oncology, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$768.34M
EPS-3.1800
P/E Ratio-2.72
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -2.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum -3.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.6%, ROIC -48.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin -4.1%, ROE -1.6%, ROIC -48.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.4%, momentum -3.5%, net margin -4.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Kura Oncology, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

KURA ยท NASDAQ

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Kura Oncology, Inc.

Kura Oncology, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

KURA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that KURA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $8.655, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Kura Oncology, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $8.655
3Y+57.0%
5Y+88.0%
10Y+116.0%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
3Y+105.0%
5Y+211.0%
10Y+911.0%
3Y-42.0%
5Y-8.0%
10Y+153.0%
3Y-36.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y+179.0%
3Y+62.0%
5Y+14.0%
10Y+958.0%
Kura Oncology, Inc.

Kura Oncology, Inc. Profit Bridge

KURA ยท NASDAQ
Revenue67.48M
Cost of Goods Sold (57.00K)
Gross Profit67.42M
Operating Expenses (371.06M)
Operating Income-303.63M
Interest Expense (1.51M)
Other Income/Expense25.26M
Pretax Income-278.37M
Income Tax (297.00K)
Net Income-278.67M
Net Income
-278.67M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

99.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-449.9%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-412.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

99.92%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
-449.94%
Operating Profit Margin
25%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
-412.95%
Net Profit Margin
28%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
-160.03%
Return on Equity
280%
3Y+395.0%
5Y+991.0%
10Y+230.0%
-37.74%
Return on Assets
65%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+173.0%
10Y-4.0%
-48.76%
Return on Invested Capital
73%
3Y+52.0%
5Y+232.0%
10Y+11.0%
KURA

Kura Oncology, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

KURA ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-278.67M
Depreciation & Amortization-7.46M
Stock-Based Compensation37.11M
Change in Working Capital184.44M
Others515.00K
Capital Expenditures-6.64M
Free Cash Flow-70.70M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

25.4%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-10.4%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-152.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$184.44M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Kura Oncology, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

KURA ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents39.08M
Net Receivables9.35M
Inventory843.00K
Other Current Assets32.77M
Total Current Assets624 M
Property, Plant & Equipment14.78M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets13.99M
Total Non-Current Assets29 M
Total Assets
652.55M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

6.15x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

5.05x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

522 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

96% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Kura Oncology, Inc. Street Expectations Map

KURA ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that KURA stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 24.00.

Lowest Target
15.00
73.31%
Consensus Target
21.20
144.95%
Highest Target
24.00
177.30%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 24.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+144.9%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

42.5% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Kura Oncology, Inc. Insider Positioning

KURA ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.02M and sold $1.73M worth of KURA shares, resulting in $290K of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

14.9K

154.76K

Net Activity

-155K

-$155K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

38.6K

382.66K

Net Activity

-383K

-$383K

6-9 Months

Bought

50.0K

410.14K

Sold

122.7K

1.20M

Net Activity

-787K

-$787K

9-12 Months

Bought

249.5K

1.61M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1.6M

+$1.61M

Top Buyers

1
WTE

Wilson Troy Edward

Director, Officer: President & Ceo

100.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$713K

2
HF

Hasnain Faheem

Director

28.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$187K

3
VM

Vasconcelles Michael

Director

28.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$187K

4
PDL

Parks Diane L.

Director

28.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$187K

5
CHL

Collins Helen Louise

Director

28.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$187K

Top Sellers

1
PBT

Powl Brian T.

Officer: Chief Commercial Officer

33.0K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$333K

2
WTE

Wilson Troy Edward

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

36.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$327K

3
LM

Leoni Mollie

Officer: Chief Medical Officer

27.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$283K

4
BF

Burrows Francis

Officer: Chief Scientific Officer

23.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$232K

5
BTB

Bair Teresa Brophy

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

19.9K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$198K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Moderately bullish with $290K net buying. Insiders show cautious optimism through measured share purchases.

Buy/Sell Ratio

1.17:1

Positive buy/sell ratio. Buying exceeds or matches selling, indicating net positive insider sentiment.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$155K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Balanced

5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

Insider Activity Insight

Broad-based insider buying: When multiple insiders independently decide to purchase shares, it often reflects genuine confidence rather than coordinated optics. This pattern deserves attention, especially if buying followed a price decline.

No Dividend Yield Data

KURA has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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kura Dividend History

KURA
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%