Kestrel Group, Ltd.
$12.25
+6.9%Kestrel Group Ltd. engages in provides reinsurance products and services to regional and specialty property and casualty insurers. It operates through the following segments: Legacy Reinsurance, Insurance Programs, and Corporate. The Legacy Reinsurance segment focuses on the results of operations of all businesses of the company and its subsidiaries. The Insurance Programs segment refers to the results of operations of all businesses of Kestrel Group LLC. The Corporate segment relates to the general corporate and management-related expenses of the company and its subsidiaries. The company is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 1.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E 1.5, earnings yield +66.7%, momentum +6.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +36.4%, ROIC +9.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin +1.4%, ROE +36.4%, ROIC +9.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.6%, momentum +6.9%, net margin +1.4%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Kestrel Group, Ltd. Fair Value Envelope
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Street Expectations Map
No Target Data
No analyst price targets available for kg.
Kestrel Group, Ltd. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for KG.
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Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
No selling activity
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.
Insider Participation
No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.
kg Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on KG by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.