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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants

KDKRW·NASDAQ

$1.02

-4.7%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Kodiak AI, Inc. is a provider of AI-powered autonomous vehicle technology designed to help tackle some of the toughest driving jobs. Its solutions address the critical problem of safely transporting goods in the face of unprecedented supply chain challenges. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$63.10M
EPS-6.4200
P/E Ratio-0.16
Earnings Date06/03/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum -4.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +9.8%, ROIC -83.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin -154.2%, ROE +9.8%, ROIC -83.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +137.6%, momentum -4.7%, net margin -154.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Market vs Earnings Trajectory

KDKRW · NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Fair Value Envelope

KDKRW · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that KDKRW has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $1.02, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $1.02
3Y-78.0%
5Y-78.0%
10Y-78.0%
3Y+928.0%
5Y+928.0%
10Y+928.0%
3Y+115.0%
5Y+115.0%
10Y+115.0%
3Y+147.0%
5Y+147.0%
10Y+147.0%
3Y+244.0%
5Y+244.0%
10Y+244.0%
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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Profit Bridge

KDKRW · NASDAQ
Revenue3.80M
Cost of Goods Sold (0.00)
Gross Profit3.80M
Operating Expenses (116.42M)
Operating Income-112.62M
Interest Expense (5.42M)
Other Income/Expense-472.90M
Pretax Income-585.52M
Income Tax (3.00K)
Net Income-585.52M
Net Income
-585.52M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

100.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-2966.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-15420.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

100.00%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
-2966.16%
Operating Profit Margin
618%
3Y+833.0%
5Y+833.0%
10Y+833.0%
-15420.73%
Net Profit Margin
3215%
3Y+4489.0%
5Y+4489.0%
10Y+4489.0%
978.04%
Return on Equity
3432%
3Y+3113.0%
5Y+3113.0%
10Y+3113.0%
-367.31%
Return on Assets
88%
3Y+199.0%
5Y+199.0%
10Y+199.0%
-82.98%
Return on Invested Capital
-69%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y-41.0%
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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Cash Conversion Engine

KDKRW · NASDAQ
Net Income-585.52M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-4.38M
Others495.46M
Capital Expenditures-22.03M
Free Cash Flow-116.47M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

19.9%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-23.3%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-115.1%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.38M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Funding & Solvency Profile

KDKRW · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents65.55M
Net Receivables500.00K
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets4.05M
Total Current Assets95 M
Property, Plant & Equipment34.51M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments850.00K
Other Non-Current Assets124.00K
Total Non-Current Assets35 M
Total Assets
130.82M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.69x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Working Capital

69 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

73% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Street Expectations Map

KDKRW · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for kdkrw.

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Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants Insider Positioning

KDKRW · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for KDKRW.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

No Dividend Yield Data

KDKRW has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

 

kdkrw Dividend History

KDKRW
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%