Iridium Communications Inc.

Iridium Communications Inc.

IRDMยทNASDAQ

$48.97

-1.7%
Communication ServicesTelecommunications Services

Iridium Communications Inc. provides mobile voice and data communications services and products to businesses, the United States and international governments, non-governmental organizations, and consumers worldwide. The company offers postpaid mobile voice and data satellite communications; prepaid mobile voice satellite communications; push-to-talk; broadband data; and Internet of Things (IoT) services. It also provides hosted payload and other data services, such as satellite time and location services, and inbound connections from the public switched telephone network, short message, subscriber identity module, activation, customer reactivation, and other peripheral services. In addition, the company offers voice and data solutions comprising personnel tracking devices; asset tracking devices for equipment, vehicles, and aircrafts; beyond-line-of-sight aircraft communications applications; maritime communications applications; specialized communications solutions for high-value individuals; mobile communications and data devices for the military and intelligence agencies, such as secure satellite handsets, as well as netted voice, messaging, and paging services; and maintenance services for the United States government's dedicated gateway. Further, it provides satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, voice and data modems, broadband data devices, and IoT data devices; various accessories for its devices that include batteries, holsters, earbud headphones, portable auxiliary antennas, antenna adaptors, USB data cables, charging units, and others; and engineering and support services. Iridium Communications Inc. sells its products and services to commercial end users through a wholesale distribution network that include service providers, and value-added resellers and manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Iridium Holdings LLC and changed its name to Iridium Communications Inc. in September 2009. Iridium Communications Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$5.18B
EPS1.0700
P/E Ratio45.77
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 45.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 45.8, earnings yield +2.2%, momentum -1.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +24.7%, ROIC +7.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.1%, ROE +24.7%, ROIC +7.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +81.7%, momentum -1.7%, net margin +13.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Iridium Communications Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

IRDM ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Iridium Communications Inc.

Iridium Communications Inc. Fair Value Envelope

IRDM ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that IRDM has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $48.97, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Iridium Communications Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $48.97
3Y+1474.0%
5Y-355.0%
10Y+7.0%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+101.0%
3Y+1211.0%
5Y-304.0%
10Y+3.0%
3Y+16.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y+78.0%
3Y+10.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y-266.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-28.0%
Iridium Communications Inc.

Iridium Communications Inc. Profit Bridge

IRDM ยท NASDAQ
Revenue871.66M
Cost of Goods Sold (197.58M)
Gross Profit674.08M
Operating Expenses (438.10M)
Operating Income235.98M
Interest Expense (88.25M)
Other Income/Expense-93.99M
Pretax Income141.99M
Income Tax (27.62M)
Net Income114.37M
Net Income
114.37M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

77.3%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

27.1%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

13.1%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

19.5%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

77.33%
Gross Profit Margin
62%
3Y+158.0%
5Y+228.0%
10Y+22.0%
27.07%
Operating Profit Margin
11%
3Y+155.0%
5Y+345.0%
10Y-33.0%
13.12%
Net Profit Margin
-3%
3Y+985.0%
5Y-237.0%
10Y-49.0%
24.72%
Return on Equity
26%
3Y+3099.0%
5Y-726.0%
10Y+199.0%
4.52%
Return on Assets
7%
3Y+1430.0%
5Y-371.0%
10Y+42.0%
7.83%
Return on Invested Capital
8%
3Y+199.0%
5Y+1045.0%
10Y+143.0%
IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

IRDM ยท NASDAQ
Net Income114.37M
Depreciation & Amortization210.21M
Stock-Based Compensation51.58M
Change in Working Capital-7.69M
Others9.44M
Capital Expenditures-100.28M
Free Cash Flow299.79M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

262.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

25.1%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

-2.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$7.69M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Iridium Communications Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

IRDM ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents111.64M
Net Receivables104.38M
Inventory69.67M
Other Current Assets23.44M
Total Current Assets309 M
Property, Plant & Equipment1.95B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets183.74M
Long-Term Investments39.02M
Other Non-Current Assets46.91M
Total Non-Current Assets2 B
Total Assets
2.53B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.85x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

4.41x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

201 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

12% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Iridium Communications Inc. Street Expectations Map

IRDM ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that IRDM stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 26.00 to a high of 60.00.

Lowest Target
26.00
-46.91%
Consensus Target
42.75
-12.70%
Highest Target
60.00
22.52%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 26.00 to a high of 60.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-12.7%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

79.5% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.48x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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Iridium Communications Inc. Insider Positioning

IRDM ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $871K and sold $2.22M worth of IRDM shares, resulting in $1.35M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.8K

184.91K

Net Activity

-185K

-$185K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

50.0K

871.30K

Sold

31.7K

570.05K

Net Activity

+301K

+$301K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

50.9K

1.47M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.47M

Top Buyers

1
NRH

Niehaus Robert H

Director

30.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$525K

2
DMJ

Desch Matthew J

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

20.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$347K

Top Sellers

1
FT

Fitzpatrick Thomas

Director

65.5K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.61M

2
KT

Kapalka Timothy

Officer: Cao Iridium Satellite Llc

6.6K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$205K

3
DMJ

Desch Matthew J

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

7.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$184K

4
MSE

Mcbride Suzanne E.

Director, Officer: Chief Operations Officer

2.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$70K

5
MKA

Morgan Kathleen A.

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

2.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$61K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Negative insider sentiment with $1.35M net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.39:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$185K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.56%
Dividend Yield
-36%
3Y+170.0%
5Y-
10Y+24.0%
ย 

irdm Dividend History

IRDM
10Y CAGR +1%
Latest $0.15
Annual $0.6
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%