Innventure, Inc.
$6.56
-4.2%Innventure, Inc. operates companies with a focus on transformative, sustainable technology solutions acquired or licensed from multinational corporations. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.2).
Valuation inputs: P/E -1.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum -4.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.4%, ROIC -21.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin -142.7%, ROE -1.4%, ROIC -21.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +19.3%, momentum -4.2%, net margin -142.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Innventure, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Innventure, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Innventure, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Innventure, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.
Innventure, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Conservative with tight liquidity: Low debt is positive, but current ratio warrants attention. Consider whether the company is efficiently deploying its equity capital.
Innventure, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that INV stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 8.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 8.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Innventure, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $299K and sold $20.05M worth of INV shares, resulting in $19.75M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
585.1K
3.23M
-3.2M
-$3.23M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
437.3K
2.08M
-2.1M
-$2.08M
6-9 Months
68.3K
299.25K
3.6M
14.47M
-14.2M
-$14.17M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
54.6K
268.39K
-268K
-$268K
Top Buyers
Donnally James O
Director
$121K
Otworth Michael
Director, Officer: Executive Chairman
$61K
Haskell Gregory W
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$51K
Brown Bruce
Director
$28K
Austrup Roland
Officer: Chief Growth Officer
$25K
Top Sellers
We-Inn Llc
10 Percent Owner
$11.92M
Hennessy Daniel J
Director
$5.53M
Scott John Stewart
Officer: Chief Strategy Officer
$2.32M
Niemeyer Suzanne
Director
$134K
Yablunosky David
Director, Officer: Cfo And Cao
$134K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $19.75M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
inv Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on INV by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.