Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
$5.16
-0.19%Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments, Americas Rental Car and International Rental Car. The company provides vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-owned, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles; and operates the Firefly vehicle rental brand and Hertz 24/7 car sharing business in international markets. Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.1).
Valuation inputs: P/E -2.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +1.6%, ROIC +0.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -8.8%, ROE +1.6%, ROIC +0.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +102.1%, momentum -0.2%, net margin -8.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.
Price-EPS Relationship
Earnings are growing but price is falling—potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 15.0%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.
Key Insight
Strong earnings growth (+75.4%) is outpacing price appreciation (+-15.0%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expanding—monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that HTZ stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 5.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 5.50.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 5.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 5.50.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $50K and sold $2.40M worth of HTZ shares, resulting in $2.35M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
40.9K
248.34K
-248K
-$248K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
3.7K
25.01K
0
0.00
+25K
+$25K
9-12 Months
3.7K
25.01K
318.6K
2.15M
-2.1M
-$2.13M
Top Buyers
Vougessis Evangeline
Director
$25K
Blake Francis S
Director
$25K
Top Sellers
Dube Sandeep
Officer: Evp, Chief Commercial Officer
$1.01M
Haralson Scott
Officer: Evp, Chief Financial Officer
$742K
Lee Martin Katherine
Officer: Evp, General Counsel And Secy
$278K
Moore Michael S.
Officer: Evp, Chief Operating Officer
$248K
Leef Eric
Officer: Evp, Chief Hr Officer
$122K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $2.35M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
htz Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on HTZ by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.