Heritage Commerce Corp

Heritage Commerce Corp

HTBKยทNASDAQ

$13.45

+3.1%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Heritage Commerce Corp operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commercial and personal banking services to residents and the business/professional community in California. Its deposit products for business banking and retail markets include interest and non-interest bearing demand, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and time deposits. The company's loan portfolio comprises commercial loans, such as operating secured and unsecured loans advanced for working capital, equipment purchases, and other business purposes; commercial real estate loans; commercial construction loans for rental properties, commercial buildings, and homes; small business administration loans; home equity lines of credit; multifamily loans on residential properties; residential mortgage loans; and consumer loans consisting of loans for financing automobiles, various consumer goods, and other personal purposes. In addition, it offers other banking services, including cashier's checks, bank by mail, night depositories, safe deposit boxes, direct deposit, automated payroll, electronic funds transfer, online bill pay, homeowner association, remote deposit capture, automated clearing house origination, electronic data interchange, and check imaging services, as well as other customary banking, factoring financing, and electronic banking services. The company operates through 17 full-service branch offices located in the general San Francisco Bay Area of California. Heritage Commerce Corp was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$828.43M
EPS0.7800
P/E Ratio15.39
Earnings Date04/22/2026
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Heritage Commerce Corp Street Expectations Map

HTBK ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HTBK stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 14.50.

Lowest Target
12.00
-10.78%
Consensus Target
13.25
-1.49%
Highest Target
14.50
7.81%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 14.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-1.5%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

18.9% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.72x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of Revenue

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
266.14M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
208.05M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
206.63M - 209.10M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-21.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of Net Income

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
47.83M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
58.46M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
56.21M - 61.10M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+22.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of EPS

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
0.78
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.95
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.91 - $0.99
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+22.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of EBIT

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
67.70M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
74.13M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
73.63M - 74.50M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+9.5%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of EBITDA

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
71.21M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
78.36M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
77.83M - 78.75M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+10.1%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

HTBK ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
73.88M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
62.99M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
62.56M - 63.30M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-14.7%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Heritage Commerce Corp Insider Positioning

HTBK ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $70K worth of HTBK shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

6.8K

70.01K

Net Activity

-70K

-$70K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CBH

Cabral Bruce H

Director

5.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$60K

2
JSS

Just Susan Svensson

Officer: Evp/Chief Credit Officer

960 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$10K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $70K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.