Hologic, Inc.

Hologic, Inc.

HOLXยทNASDAQ

$76.01

+0.0000%
HealthcareMedical - Instruments & Supplies

Hologic, Inc. develops, manufactures, and supplies diagnostics products, medical imaging systems, and surgical products for women's health through early detection and treatment in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Diagnostics, Breast Health, GYN Surgical, and Skeletal Health. The company provides Aptima molecular diagnostic assays to detect the infectious microorganisms; Aptima viral load tests for HIV, Hepatitis C, and Hepatitis B; Aptima SARS-CoV-2 and Panther Fusion SARS-CoV-2 assays for the detection of SARS-CoV-2; ThinPrep System for use in cytology applications; Rapid Fetal Fibronectin Test that assists physicians in assessing the risk of pre-term birth; and various diagnostic tests for the detection of Group B Streptococcus. It also offers breast imaging and analytics, such as 2D and 3D digital mammography systems and reading workstations, minimally invasive breast biopsy guidance systems and devices, breast biopsy site markers and localization, specimen radiology, and ultrasound and connectivity solutions; and breast conserving surgery products. In addition, the company provides NovaSure Endometrial Ablation System for the treatment of abnormal uterine bleeding; MyoSure Hysteroscopic Tissue Removal System for the removal of fibroids, polyps, and other pathology within the uterus; and Fluent Fluid Management System that provides liquid distention during diagnostic and operative hysteroscopic procedures. Further, it offers Horizon DXA, a dual energy X-ray system; and the Fluoroscan Insight FD mini C-arm to perform minimally invasive orthopedic surgical procedures. The company sells its products through direct sales and service forces, and independent distributors and sales representatives. Hologic, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$16.97B
EPS2.5000
P/E Ratio30.40
Earnings Date04/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 30.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 30.4, earnings yield +3.3%, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +11.2%, ROIC +7.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.8%, ROE +11.2%, ROIC +7.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +44.0%, momentum 0.0%, net margin +13.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Hologic, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

HOLX ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Hologic, Inc.

Hologic, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

HOLX ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that HOLX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $76.01, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Hologic, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $76.01
3Y-52.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+112.0%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+9.0%
10Y+45.0%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-49.0%
10Y+71.0%
3Y-50.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y-54.0%
5Y+24.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+25.0%
10Y+23.0%
Hologic, Inc.

Hologic, Inc. Profit Bridge

HOLX ยท NASDAQ
Revenue4.10B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.60B)
Gross Profit2.50B
Operating Expenses (1.79B)
Operating Income714.30M
Interest Expense (42.70M)
Other Income/Expense-33.10M
Pretax Income681.20M
Income Tax (115.50M)
Net Income565.70M
Net Income
565.70M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

61.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

17.4%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

13.8%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

17.0%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

60.99%
Gross Profit Margin
10%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+11.0%
17.42%
Operating Profit Margin
-20%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-40.0%
10Y-10.0%
13.80%
Net Profit Margin
-30%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-53.0%
10Y+18.0%
11.21%
Return on Equity
-27%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-73.0%
10Y-27.0%
6.28%
Return on Assets
-27%
3Y-56.0%
5Y-60.0%
10Y+39.0%
7.35%
Return on Invested Capital
-25%
3Y-55.0%
5Y-62.0%
10Y+13.0%
HOLX

Hologic, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

HOLX ยท NASDAQ
Net Income565.70M
Depreciation & Amortization299.80M
Stock-Based Compensation84.30M
Change in Working Capital-20.40M
Others269.30M
Capital Expenditures-137.00M
Free Cash Flow920.10M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

162.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

13.0%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-19.6%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$20.40M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Hologic, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

HOLX ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.17B
Net Receivables584.20M
Inventory688.50M
Other Current Assets176.00M
Total Current Assets4 B
Property, Plant & Equipment568.30M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets4.19B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets576.50M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
9.18B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

4.04x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.75x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

3 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

42% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Hologic, Inc. Street Expectations Map

HOLX ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HOLX stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 78.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 78.00 to a high of 79.00.

Lowest Target
78.00
2.62%
Consensus Target
78.50
3.28%
Highest Target
79.00
3.93%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 78.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 78.00 to a high of 79.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+3.3%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

1.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Hologic, Inc. Insider Positioning

HOLX ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.15M worth of HOLX shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

46.1K

3.15M

Net Activity

-3.1M

-$3.15M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
MSP

Macmillan Stephen P

Director, Officer: Chairman, President And Ceo

38.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.61M

2
SC

Stamoulis Christiana

Director

7.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$541K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.15M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

holx Dividend History

HOLX
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%