HF Foods Group Inc.

HF Foods Group Inc.

HFFGยทNASDAQ

$1.84

+0.55%
Consumer DefensiveFood Distribution

HF Foods Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a food service distributor to Asian restaurants located in the Southeastern, Pacific, and Mountain West regions of the United States. It distributes Asian specialty food items, meat and poultry products, seafood, fresh produce, packaging and other items, and commodities. The company also provides design and printing services, as well as logistic and food processing services. In addition, it is involved in real estate holding activities. The company is headquartered in City of Industry, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$98.39M
EPS-0.7300
P/E Ratio-2.52
Earnings Date08/10/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E -2.5, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -19.2%, ROIC +1.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -3.2%, ROE -19.2%, ROIC +1.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +62.4%, momentum +0.5%, net margin -3.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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HF Foods Group Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

HFFG ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

HF Foods Group Inc.

HF Foods Group Inc. Fair Value Envelope

HFFG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that HFFG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $1.84, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for HF Foods Group Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $1.84
3Y-8588.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y-102.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+117.0%
10Y+339.0%
3Y-8544.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y-924.0%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-44.0%
10Y+459.0%
3Y-77.0%
5Y-85.0%
10Y+269.0%
3Y-15.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+646.0%
HF Foods Group Inc.

HF Foods Group Inc. Profit Bridge

HFFG ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.23B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.02B)
Gross Profit207.58M
Operating Expenses (201.76M)
Operating Income5.81M
Interest Expense (11.47M)
Other Income/Expense-51.09M
Pretax Income-45.28M
Income Tax (-5.97M)
Net Income-38.84M
Net Income
-38.84M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

16.9%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

0.5%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

-3.2%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.

16.90%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y-4.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+30.0%
0.47%
Operating Profit Margin
-115%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-77.0%
-3.16%
Net Profit Margin
-22%
3Y-8147.0%
5Y-95.0%
10Y-287.0%
-19.22%
Return on Equity
-5%
3Y-12298.0%
5Y-85.0%
10Y-197.0%
-7.17%
Return on Assets
-19%
3Y-10035.0%
5Y-90.0%
10Y-210.0%
1.12%
Return on Invested Capital
-114%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-90.0%
HFFG

HF Foods Group Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

HFFG ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-38.84M
Depreciation & Amortization28.38M
Stock-Based Compensation1.76M
Change in Working Capital-4.82M
Others44.59M
Capital Expenditures-18.92M
Free Cash Flow6.56M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-16.9%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

74.2%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-35.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.82M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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HF Foods Group Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

HFFG ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents11.06M
Net Receivables67.62M
Inventory107.18M
Other Current Assets6.10M
Total Current Assets192 M
Property, Plant & Equipment200.37M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets24.14M
Long-Term Investments2.10M
Other Non-Current Assets127.32M
Total Non-Current Assets330 M
Total Assets
545.88M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.11x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.67x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

19 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

35% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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HF Foods Group Inc. Street Expectations Map

HFFG ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HFFG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 5.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 5.00.

Lowest Target
5.00
171.74%
Consensus Target
5.00
171.74%
Highest Target
5.00
171.74%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 5.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 5.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+171.7%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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HF Foods Group Inc. Insider Positioning

HFFG ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $64K worth of HFFG shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

23.0K

40.93K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+41K

+$41K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

3.8K

8.46K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+8K

+$8K

9-12 Months

Bought

4.5K

14.44K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+14K

+$14K

Top Buyers

1
LX

Lin Xi

Officer: President And Ceo

15.2K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$33K

2
LD

Lam Dennis

Director

8.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$15K

3
CC

Chang Christine

Officer: Chief Administrative Officer

5.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$11K

4
MPE

Mcgarry Paul E

Officer: Cfo

2.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $64K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$41K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

4 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

hffg Dividend History

HFFG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%