GS

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock

GEMI·NASDAQ

$4.51

-13%
Financial ServicesFinancial - Capital Markets

Gemini Space Station, Inc. develops a crypto platform to buy, sell, and store crypto assets. The company's platform offers crypto assets, including bitcoin and ether; and services, such as derivatives exchange, staking services, an over-the-counter trading desk, institutional-grade custody, stablecoin, a U.S. credit card, and a Web3 studio for NFTs (non-fungible tokens). It serves individual retail users; and institutional investors, including asset managers, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and corporations. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in New York, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$551.03M
EPS-4.9700
P/E Ratio-0.91
Earnings Date06/03/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.9, earnings yield N/A, momentum -12.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.1%, ROIC -28.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin -4.0%, ROE -1.1%, ROIC -28.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +70.1%, momentum -12.6%, net margin -4.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory

GEMI · NASDAQ
Current Price
$4.51
EPS (TTM)
$-9.68

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

-10.1%

Declining earnings warrant investigation into business challenges and competitive position.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Both price and earnings are declining together, reflecting deteriorating business fundamentals.

Stock Price Change

-84.5%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 84.5%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-0.9x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value Envelope

GEMI · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that GEMI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $4.51, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $4.51
3Y+145.0%
5Y+145.0%
10Y+145.0%
3Y+49.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+49.0%
3Y+82.0%
5Y+82.0%
10Y+82.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y+5.0%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y+5.0%
3Y+49.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+49.0%
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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Profit Bridge

GEMI · NASDAQ
Revenue146.17M
Cost of Goods Sold (0.00)
Gross Profit146.17M
Operating Expenses (670.33M)
Operating Income-524.16M
Interest Expense (70.33M)
Other Income/Expense-64.64M
Pretax Income-588.80M
Income Tax (-5.99M)
Net Income-582.81M
Net Income
-582.81M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

100.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-358.6%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-398.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

100.00%
Gross Profit Margin
1117%
3Y-330.0%
5Y-330.0%
10Y-330.0%
-358.60%
Operating Profit Margin
207%
3Y+13.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+13.0%
-398.73%
Net Profit Margin
258%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y+22.0%
-107.75%
Return on Equity
-277%
3Y-137.0%
5Y-137.0%
10Y-137.0%
-32.22%
Return on Assets
224%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y+22.0%
-28.68%
Return on Invested Capital
61%
3Y-42.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-42.0%
G

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine

GEMI · NASDAQ
Net Income-582.81M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital23.80M
Others340.81M
Capital Expenditures-7.66M
Free Cash Flow-225.86M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

38.8%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-3.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-96.5%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$23.80M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile

GEMI · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents319.37M
Net Receivables32.47M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets982.65M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment14.95M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets134.23M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets38.14M
Total Non-Current Assets53 M
Total Assets
1.52B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.27x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.34x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

288 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

88% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Street Expectations Map

GEMI · NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that GEMI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 26.00.

Lowest Target
5.00
10.86%
Consensus Target
9.64
113.75%
Highest Target
26.00
476.50%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.00 to a high of 26.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+113.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

217.8% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Insider Positioning

GEMI · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $59K worth of GEMI shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

11.7K

59.09K

Net Activity

-59K

-$59K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SD

Stojanovic Danijela

Officer: Interim Cfo

11.7K shares1 transactions

$59K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $59K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$59K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

No Dividend Yield Data

GEMI has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

 

gemi Dividend History

GEMI
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%