GE

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029

GECCI·NASDAQ

$25.32

-0.41%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Great Elm Capital Corp. is a business development company which specializes in loan and mezzanine, middle market investments. It invests in the debt instruments of middle market companies. The fund prefers to invest in media, commercial services and supplies, healthcare, telecommunication services, communications equipment. It typically makes equity investments between $3 million and $10 million in companies with revenues between $3 million and $75 million.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$354.43M
EPS-2.5700
P/E Ratio-9.85
Earnings Date04/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal · Driver · Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -9.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -9.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +1.2%, ROIC -51.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +57.7%, ROE +1.2%, ROIC -51.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +84.6%, momentum -0.4%, net margin +57.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

g

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Market vs Earnings Trajectory

GECCI · NASDAQ
Current Price
$25.32
EPS (TTM)
$-2.66

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

-3.5%

Slight earnings decline may be temporary. Monitor future quarters for trend reversal.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Price is rising despite declining earnings—caution advised as valuation may be stretched.

Stock Price Change

+0.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 0.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-9.8x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Despite declining earnings (-3.5%), the stock price has risen (+0.4%). This disconnect suggests investors may be optimistic about future turnaround, but earnings recovery is critical to sustain the valuation.

GE

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Fair Value Envelope

GECCI · NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that GECCI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $25.32, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $25.32
3Y-177.0%
5Y-177.0%
10Y-177.0%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-26.0%
10Y-26.0%
3Y-29.0%
5Y-29.0%
10Y-29.0%
3Y-118.0%
5Y-118.0%
10Y-118.0%
3Y-118.0%
5Y-118.0%
10Y-118.0%
3Y-61.0%
5Y-61.0%
10Y-61.0%
GE

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Profit Bridge

GECCI · NASDAQ
Revenue31.01M
Cost of Goods Sold (2.02M)
Gross Profit28.98M
Operating Expenses (1.62M)
Operating Income27.36M
Interest Expense (18.41M)
Other Income/Expense-9.47M
Pretax Income17.90M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income17.90M
Net Income
17.90M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

93.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

88.3%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

57.7%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

0.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

93.48%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y+23.0%
88.25%
Operating Profit Margin
-2%
3Y+46.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+46.0%
57.72%
Net Profit Margin
42%
3Y-4.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y-4.0%
120.73%
Return on Equity
45%
3Y+371.0%
5Y+371.0%
10Y+371.0%
18.55%
Return on Assets
-29%
3Y+81.0%
5Y+81.0%
10Y+81.0%
-51.33%
Return on Invested Capital
-98%
3Y-597.0%
5Y-597.0%
10Y-597.0%
G

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Cash Conversion Engine

GECCI · NASDAQ
Net Income17.90M
Depreciation & Amortization40.65M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital0.00
Others-61.36M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-2.81M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-15.7%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

FCF Growth Trend

+96.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$0.00

Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

g

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Funding & Solvency Profile

GECCI · NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables2.38M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets2 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
282.76M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.01x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.63x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

-166758000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

g

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Street Expectations Map

GECCI · NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for gecci.

g

Great Elm Capital Corp. 8.50% Notes DUE 2029 Insider Positioning

GECCI · NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for GECCI.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.07%
Dividend Yield
-94%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
 

gecci Dividend History

GECCI
10Y CAGR 9%
Latest $0.171
Annual $2.29618
Dividend decline trend
Last Period: 68%