Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc.

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc.

FULCยทNASDAQ

$3.22

+2.5%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing products for improving the lives of patients with genetically defined diseases in the areas of high unmet medical need in the United States. Its product candidates are losmapimod, a small molecule for the treatment of facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy; and FTX-6058, an investigational oral fetal hemoglobin inducer for the treatment of sickle cell disease and other hemoglobinopathies, including beta-thalassemia. The company is also discovering drug targets for the treatments of rare neuromuscular, muscular, central nervous system, and hematologic disorders, as well as cardiomyopathies and pulmonary diseases. Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. has research and discovery collaboration agreement with Acceleron Pharma Inc. to identify biological targets to modulate specific pathways associated with a targeted indication within the pulmonary disease space; and has a strategic collaboration and license agreement with MyoKardia, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize novel targeted therapies for the treatment of genetic cardiomyopathies. Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. was Incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$174.24M
EPS-1.1800
P/E Ratio-2.73
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -2.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum +2.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -21.5%, ROIC -23.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -21.5%, ROIC -23.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +4.7%, momentum +2.5%, net margin 0.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FULC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc.

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FULC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FULC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.22, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.22
3Y-50.0%
5Y-56.0%
10Y-13.0%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
3Y-32.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y+226.0%
3Y-38.0%
5Y+12.0%
10Y+199.0%
3Y-39.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+175.0%
3Y+62.0%
5Y+183.0%
10Y+8340.0%
Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc.

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Profit Bridge

FULC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue0.00
Cost of Goods Sold (1.39M)
Gross Profit-1.39M
Operating Expenses (83.38M)
Operating Income-84.77M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense9.89M
Pretax Income-74.88M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-74.88M
Net Income
-74.88M

Profitability Analysis

0.00%
Gross Profit Margin
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
0.00%
Operating Profit Margin
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
0.00%
Net Profit Margin
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
-21.46%
Return on Equity
436%
3Y-61.0%
5Y-71.0%
10Y-99.0%
-20.44%
Return on Assets
448%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-63.0%
10Y-96.0%
-23.84%
Return on Invested Capital
174%
3Y-55.0%
5Y-66.0%
10Y-98.0%
FULC

Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

FULC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-74.88M
Depreciation & Amortization1.39M
Stock-Based Compensation12.47M
Change in Working Capital3.91M
Others-2.95M
Capital Expenditures-314.00K
Free Cash Flow-60.38M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

80.6%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

-0.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-2319.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$3.91M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

FULC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents50.26M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets5.35M
Total Current Assets339 M
Property, Plant & Equipment6.35M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.75M
Total Non-Current Assets8 M
Total Assets
346.77M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

34.33x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.04x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

329 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

98% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FULC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FULC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.63, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.00 to a high of 25.00.

Lowest Target
3.00
-6.83%
Consensus Target
9.63
199.07%
Highest Target
25.00
676.40%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.63, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.00 to a high of 25.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+199.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

228.5% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

99.00x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. Insider Positioning

FULC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.13M and sold $19.07M worth of FULC shares, resulting in $16.94M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.4M

18.90M

Net Activity

-18.9M

-$18.90M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.0K

165.50K

Net Activity

-165K

-$165K

9-12 Months

Bought

288.0K

2.13M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+2.1M

+$2.13M

Top Buyers

1
GRJ

Gould Robert J

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$266K

2
EA

Ezekowitz Alan

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$266K

3
GJA

Geraghty James A

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$266K

4
DK

Dorton Katina

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$266K

5
HK

Haviland Kate

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$266K

Top Sellers

1
RCML

Ra Capital Management, L.P.

10 Percent Owner

1.4M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$18.36M

2
GRJ

Gould Robert J

Director

60.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$668K

3
OCG

Oltmans Curtis Gale

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

3.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$45K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $16.94M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.11:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 3 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

No Dividend Yield Data

FULC has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

fulc Dividend History

FULC
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%