Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc.

FTDRยทNASDAQ

$62.08

+0.65%
Consumer CyclicalPersonal Products & Services

Frontdoor, Inc. provides home service plans in the United States. The company's home service plans cover the repair or replacement of principal components of approximately 20 home systems and appliances, including electrical, plumbing, water heaters, refrigerators, dishwashers, and ranges/ovens/cooktops, as well as electronics, pools, and spas and pumps; and central heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems. It also offers ProConnect on-demand home services business and Streem, a technology platform that uses augmented reality, computer vision, and machine learning that helps home service professionals quickly and accurately diagnose breakdowns and complete repairs. The company serves homeowners under the American Home Shield, HSA, Landmark Home Warranty, OneGuard, Frontdoor, and Streem brands. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.36B
EPS3.4800
P/E Ratio17.84
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 17.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 17.8, earnings yield +5.6%, momentum +0.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +1.1%, ROIC +17.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +12.2%, ROE +1.1%, ROIC +17.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.7%, momentum +0.6%, net margin +12.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Frontdoor, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FTDR ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FTDR ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FTDR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $62.08, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Frontdoor, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $62.08
3Y+300.0%
5Y+166.0%
10Y+137.0%
3Y+26.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y+105.0%
3Y+259.0%
5Y+128.0%
10Y+106.0%
3Y+192.0%
5Y+100.0%
10Y+168.0%
3Y+281.0%
5Y+122.0%
10Y+170.0%
3Y+98.0%
5Y+52.0%
10Y+68.0%
Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc. Profit Bridge

FTDR ยท NASDAQ
Revenue2.09B
Cost of Goods Sold (936.00M)
Gross Profit1.16B
Operating Expenses (757.00M)
Operating Income400.00M
Interest Expense (79.00M)
Other Income/Expense-62.00M
Pretax Income338.00M
Income Tax (84.00M)
Net Income255.00M
Net Income
255.00M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

55.3%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

19.1%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

12.2%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

55.28%
Gross Profit Margin
3%
3Y+36.0%
5Y+14.0%
10Y+14.0%
19.11%
Operating Profit Margin
4%
3Y+106.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y-
12.18%
Net Profit Margin
-4%
3Y+185.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y-
105.37%
Return on Equity
7%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-157.0%
10Y+376.0%
11.90%
Return on Assets
7%
3Y+81.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+23.0%
16.96%
Return on Invested Capital
16%
3Y+6.0%
5Y-9.0%
10Y-13.0%
FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

FTDR ยท NASDAQ
Net Income255.00M
Depreciation & Amortization89.00M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital29.00M
Others33.00M
Capital Expenditures-26.00M
Free Cash Flow389.00M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

152.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

6.3%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+68.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$29.00M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Frontdoor, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

FTDR ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents603.00M
Net Receivables10.00M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets48.00M
Total Current Assets661 M
Property, Plant & Equipment61.00M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.34B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets97.00M
Total Non-Current Assets158 M
Total Assets
2.16B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.47x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

8.45x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

210 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

31% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Frontdoor, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FTDR ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FTDR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 69.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 67.00 to a high of 71.00.

Lowest Target
67.00
7.93%
Consensus Target
69.33
11.68%
Highest Target
71.00
14.37%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 69.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 67.00 to a high of 71.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+11.7%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

5.8% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Frontdoor, Inc. Insider Positioning

FTDR ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $8.85M worth of FTDR shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.0K

1.01M

Net Activity

-1.0M

-$1.01M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

139.1K

7.84M

Net Activity

-7.8M

-$7.84M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
FJ

Fiarman Jeffrey

Officer: Svp & Chief Legal Officer

144.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$8.29M

2
CKM

Collins Kathryn M

Officer: Svp & Chief Revenue Officer

9.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$556K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $8.85M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

No Dividend Yield Data

FTDR has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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ftdr Dividend History

FTDR
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%