First Solar, Inc.

First Solar, Inc.

FSLRยทNASDAQ

$318.30

+5.0%
EnergySolar

First Solar, Inc. provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United State, Japan, France, Canada, India, Australia, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that converts sunlight into electricity. It serves developers and operators of systems, utilities, independent power producers, commercial and industrial companies, and other system owners. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$34.20B
EPS14.2500
P/E Ratio22.34
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 22.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 22.3, earnings yield +4.5%, momentum +5.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +16.0%, ROIC +14.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +29.3%, ROE +16.0%, ROIC +14.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +28.4%, momentum +5.0%, net margin +29.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

fslr

First Solar, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FSLR ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

First Solar, Inc.

First Solar, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FSLR ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FSLR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $318.3, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for First Solar, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $318.3
3Y-3576.0%
5Y+279.0%
10Y-509.0%
3Y+99.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+80.0%
3Y-3560.0%
5Y+284.0%
10Y-467.0%
3Y+136.0%
5Y+5442.0%
10Y+895.0%
3Y-4027.0%
5Y-413.0%
10Y-5330.0%
3Y+61.0%
5Y+87.0%
10Y+94.0%
First Solar, Inc.

First Solar, Inc. Profit Bridge

FSLR ยท NASDAQ
Revenue5.22B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.10B)
Gross Profit2.12B
Operating Expenses (437.18M)
Operating Income1.68B
Interest Expense (44.13M)
Other Income/Expense-102.61M
Pretax Income1.58B
Income Tax (52.68M)
Net Income1.53B
Net Income
1.53B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

40.6%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

32.3%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

29.3%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

3.3%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

40.63%
Gross Profit Margin
-8%
3Y+1423.0%
5Y+62.0%
10Y+85.0%
32.26%
Operating Profit Margin
-3%
3Y-3202.0%
5Y+175.0%
10Y-265.0%
29.28%
Net Profit Margin
-5%
3Y-1836.0%
5Y+99.0%
10Y-304.0%
16.02%
Return on Equity
-1%
3Y-2217.0%
5Y+122.0%
10Y-301.0%
11.47%
Return on Assets
8%
3Y-2243.0%
5Y+105.0%
10Y-289.0%
14.42%
Return on Invested Capital
16%
3Y+645.0%
5Y+187.0%
10Y-244.0%
FSLR

First Solar, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

FSLR ยท NASDAQ
Net Income1.53B
Depreciation & Amortization529.22M
Stock-Based Compensation19.22M
Change in Working Capital127.65M
Others-172.82M
Capital Expenditures-869.88M
Free Cash Flow1.19B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

77.7%

Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.

CapEx Intensity

42.3%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+485.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$127.65M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

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First Solar, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

FSLR ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.36B
Net Receivables1.37B
Inventory893.88M
Other Current Assets951.34M
Total Current Assets6 B
Property, Plant & Equipment5.67B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets95.46M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.74B
Total Non-Current Assets7 B
Total Assets
13.35B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.56x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.35x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

3 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

42% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

fslr

First Solar, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FSLR ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FSLR stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 257.08, with estimates ranging from a low of 205.00 to a high of 326.00.

Lowest Target
205.00
-35.60%
Consensus Target
257.08
-19.23%
Highest Target
326.00
2.42%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 257.08, with estimates ranging from a low of 205.00 to a high of 326.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-19.2%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

47.1% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.07x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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First Solar, Inc. Insider Positioning

FSLR ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $17.50M worth of FSLR shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

37.2K

8.44M

Net Activity

-8.4M

-$8.44M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

32.0K

6.27M

Net Activity

-6.3M

-$6.27M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.5K

1.49M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.49M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.1K

1.30M

Net Activity

-1.3M

-$1.30M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SC

Stockdale Caroline

Officer: Chief People And Comm. Officer

12.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$3.38M

2
DJE

Dymbort Jason E.

Officer: General Counsel And Secretary

15.1K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$3.04M

3
WMR

Widmar Mark R

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

14.6K sharesโ€ข9 transactions

$2.99M

4
GM

Gloeckler Markus

Officer: Chief Technology Officer

7.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.55M

5
BAR

Bradley Alexander R.

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

7.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.44M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $17.50M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$8.44M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

FSLR has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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fslr Dividend History

FSLR
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%