JFrog Ltd.

JFrog Ltd.

FROGยทNASDAQ

$83.86

-4.8%
TechnologySoftware - Application

JFrog Ltd. provides DevOps platform in the United States. The company's products include JFrog Artifactory, a package repository that allows teams and organizations to store, update, and manage their software packages at any scale; JFrog Pipelines, an integration/continuous delivery tool for automating and orchestrating the movement of software packages; JFrog Xray, which scan JFrog Artifactory; and JFrog Distribution that provides software package distribution with enterprise-grade performance. Its products include JFrog Artifactory Edge that utilizes and leverages metadata from JFrog Artifactory to facilitate the transfer of the incremental changes in software packages from their previous versions; JFrog Mission Control, a platform control panel that provides a view of moving pieces of an organization's software supply chain workflow; JFrog Insight, a DevOps intelligence tool; and JFrog Connect, a device management solution that allows companies to manage software updates and monitor performance across IoT device fleets from anywhere in the world. The company's products also comprise JFrog Pro, JFrog Pro Team, JFrog Pro X, JFrog Enterprise, JFrog Enterprise X, and JFrog Enterprise Plus products that offer ongoing updates, upgrades, and bug fixes, as well as cluster configuration, multi-site replication, and SLA support. It serves technology, financial services, retail, healthcare, and telecommunications organizations. JFrog Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$10.16B
EPS-0.6200
P/E Ratio-135.26
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -135.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E -135.3, earnings yield N/A, momentum -4.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -8.1%, ROIC -8.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin -13.5%, ROE -8.1%, ROIC -8.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +33.8%, momentum -4.8%, net margin -13.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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JFrog Ltd. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FROG ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

JFrog Ltd.

JFrog Ltd. Fair Value Envelope

FROG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FROG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $83.86, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for JFrog Ltd..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $83.86
3Y-32.0%
5Y+210.0%
10Y+94.0%
3Y+90.0%
5Y+253.0%
10Y+737.0%
3Y-20.0%
5Y+664.0%
10Y+176.0%
3Y+580.0%
5Y+395.0%
10Y+1602.0%
3Y+747.0%
5Y+449.0%
10Y+2493.0%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+95.0%
10Y+518.0%
JFrog Ltd.

JFrog Ltd. Profit Bridge

FROG ยท NASDAQ
Revenue531.84M
Cost of Goods Sold (126.86M)
Gross Profit404.98M
Operating Expenses (488.62M)
Operating Income-83.64M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense17.60M
Pretax Income-66.04M
Income Tax (5.78M)
Net Income-71.82M
Net Income
-71.82M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

76.1%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-15.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-13.5%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

76.15%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y-2.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y-8.0%
-15.73%
Operating Profit Margin
-26%
3Y-51.0%
5Y+67.0%
10Y-62.0%
-13.50%
Net Profit Margin
-16%
3Y-58.0%
5Y+117.0%
10Y-67.0%
-8.09%
Return on Equity
-10%
3Y-44.0%
5Y+377.0%
10Y-112.0%
-5.35%
Return on Assets
-13%
3Y-48.0%
5Y+292.0%
10Y-55.0%
-8.90%
Return on Invested Capital
-20%
3Y-34.0%
5Y+359.0%
10Y-48.0%
FROG

JFrog Ltd. Cash Conversion Engine

FROG ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-71.82M
Depreciation & Amortization24.50M
Stock-Based Compensation156.66M
Change in Working Capital33.47M
Others2.92M
Capital Expenditures-3.46M
Free Cash Flow142.27M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-198.1%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

2.4%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+32.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$33.47M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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JFrog Ltd. Funding & Solvency Profile

FROG ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents60.97M
Net Receivables113.71M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets49.85M
Total Current Assets905 M
Property, Plant & Equipment22.67M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets406.75M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets38.99M
Total Non-Current Assets62 M
Total Assets
1.37B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.26x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.49x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

505 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

66% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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JFrog Ltd. Street Expectations Map

FROG ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FROG stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 77.13, with estimates ranging from a low of 60.00 to a high of 90.00.

Lowest Target
60.00
-28.45%
Consensus Target
77.13
-8.03%
Highest Target
90.00
7.32%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 77.13, with estimates ranging from a low of 60.00 to a high of 90.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-8.0%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

38.9% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.26x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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JFrog Ltd. Insider Positioning

FROG ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $212.21M worth of FROG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

185.6K

11.73M

Net Activity

-11.7M

-$11.73M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

379.4K

162.74M

Net Activity

-162.7M

-$162.74M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

271.3K

15.95M

Net Activity

-16.0M

-$15.95M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

470.8K

21.78M

Net Activity

-21.8M

-$21.78M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
NT

Notman Tali

Officer: Chief Revenue Officer

109.5K sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$147.73M

2
SBH

Shlomi Ben Haim

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

409.6K sharesโ€ข18 transactions

$22.22M

3
LY

Landman Yoav

Director, Officer: Chief Technology Officer

379.3K sharesโ€ข16 transactions

$20.86M

4
SF

Simon Frederic

Director

285.7K sharesโ€ข15 transactions

$15.20M

5
SY

Sela Yossi

Director

61.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$3.30M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $212.21M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$11.73M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

FROG has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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frog Dividend History

FROG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%