First Mid Bancshares, Inc.

First Mid Bancshares, Inc.

FMBHยทNASDAQ

$44.26

-2.6%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

First Mid Bancshares, Inc., a financial holding company, provides community banking products and services to commercial, retail, and agricultural customers in the United States. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand deposits, savings accounts, money market deposits, and time deposits. The company's loan products include commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural and agricultural real estate, residential real estate, and consumer loans; and other loans comprising loans to municipalities to support community projects, such as infrastructure improvements or equipment purchases. It also offers wealth management services, which include estate planning, investment, and farm management and brokerage services for individuals; and employee benefit services for business enterprises. In addition, the company provides property and casualty, senior insurance products, and group medical insurance for businesses; and personal lines insurance to individuals. It operates through a network of 52 banking centers in Illinois and 14 offices in Missouri, as well as a loan production office in Indiana. The company was formerly known as First Mid-Illinois Bancshares, Inc. and changed its name to First Mid Bancshares, Inc. in April 2019. First Mid Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Mattoon, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.18B
EPS3.8400
P/E Ratio10.15
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.2, earnings yield +9.9%, momentum -2.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +9.6%, ROIC +5.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.7%, ROE +9.6%, ROIC +5.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.0%, momentum -2.6%, net margin +19.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

fmbh

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FMBH ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

First Mid Bancshares, Inc.

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FMBH ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FMBH has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $44.26, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for First Mid Bancshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $44.26
3Y+6.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y+86.0%
3Y+63.0%
5Y+131.0%
10Y+364.0%
3Y+26.0%
5Y+103.0%
10Y+320.0%
3Y+99.0%
5Y+106.0%
10Y+377.0%
3Y+104.0%
5Y+103.0%
10Y+364.0%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+69.0%
10Y+176.0%
First Mid Bancshares, Inc.

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

FMBH ยท NASDAQ
Revenue466.04M
Cost of Goods Sold (126.75M)
Gross Profit339.30M
Operating Expenses (222.25M)
Operating Income117.05M
Interest Expense (116.83M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income117.05M
Income Tax (25.30M)
Net Income91.75M
Net Income
91.75M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

72.8%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

25.1%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

19.7%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

21.6%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

72.80%
Gross Profit Margin
4%
3Y-17.0%
5Y-13.0%
10Y-22.0%
25.12%
Operating Profit Margin
8%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-15.0%
10Y-25.0%
19.69%
Net Profit Margin
12%
3Y-23.0%
5Y-12.0%
10Y-9.0%
9.57%
Return on Equity
3%
3Y-17.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y+23.0%
1.15%
Return on Assets
10%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y+52.0%
5.86%
Return on Invested Capital
8%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+33.0%
10Y+49.0%
FMBH

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

FMBH ยท NASDAQ
Net Income91.75M
Depreciation & Amortization19.77M
Stock-Based Compensation2.64M
Change in Working Capital9.58M
Others9.47M
Capital Expenditures-6.85M
Free Cash Flow124.03M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

135.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+3.8%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

+$9.58M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

FMBH ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents477.03M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment101.94M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets277.35M
Long-Term Investments8.04B
Other Non-Current Assets-8.04B
Total Non-Current Assets102 M
Total Assets
9.29B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

7.96x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.63x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

18% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FMBH ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FMBH stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 50.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 55.00.

Lowest Target
47.00
6.19%
Consensus Target
50.00
12.97%
Highest Target
55.00
24.27%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 50.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 55.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+13.0%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

16.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

fmbh

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

FMBH ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $138K and sold $538K worth of FMBH shares, resulting in $400K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

53

2.31K

Sold

11.2K

479.64K

Net Activity

-477K

-$477K

6-9 Months

Bought

1.8K

67.78K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+68K

+$68K

9-12 Months

Bought

1.8K

68.34K

Sold

1.6K

58.41K

Net Activity

+10K

+$10K

Top Buyers

1
ZJE

Zimmer James Edwin

Director

723 sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$28K

2
CRS

Cook Robert S

Director

710 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$27K

3
WM

Westerhold Mary

Director

703 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$27K

4
MJK

Mccurry James Kyle

Director

663 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$25K

5
HZ

Horn Zachary

Director

636 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$24K

Top Sellers

1
BBL

Beesley Bradley L

Officer: Evp, Ceo First Mid Wealth Mgmt

6.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$264K

2
DCM

Dean Clay M

Officer: Ceo-First Mid Insurance Group

6.3K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$255K

3
WSR

Wolak Stas R

Officer: Evp Chief Retail Banking Ofc.

430 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$19K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $400K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.26:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 3 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

0.61%
Dividend Yield
-5%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y-49.0%
ย 

fmbh Dividend History

FMBH
10Y CAGR +2%
Latest $0.25
Annual $1.24
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%