Forte Biosciences, Inc.
$16.74
-7.9%Forte Biosciences, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. It is developing FB-102 program that addresses various autoimmune diseases, such as vitiligo and alopecia areata. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -3.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E -3.5, earnings yield N/A, momentum -7.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.1%, ROIC -1.1%).
Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -1.1%, ROIC -1.1%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +26.3%, momentum -7.9%, net margin 0.0%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Forte Biosciences, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that FBRX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 65.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 65.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 65.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 65.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Forte Biosciences, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $255K worth of FBRX shares, with no selling activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
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3-6 Months
9.7K
254.83K
0
0.00
+255K
+$255K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
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9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
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Top Buyers
Riley Antony A
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$255K
Top Sellers
No selling activity
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $255K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโthe most bullish possible insider signal.
Insider Participation
1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.
No Dividend Yield Data
FBRX has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
fbrx Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on FBRX by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.